April 23, 2017
There is one pick today.
Take Utah Jazz -2 spread (buy the half point) against LA Clippers for 3% of the bankroll.
The Utah Jazz missed a huge opportunity in Game 3, to take control of this series. Utah had nearly every advantage going for them; it was their first home playoff game in 5 years, Blake Griffin was once again hurt and the Jazz even managed to go up by as many as 15 points in the second half, but ultimately could not close the deal. It was a disappointing result, considering how well both George Hill and Gordon Hayward played in that contest, but Chris Paul simply played just a bit better. Paul was a man possessed in the second half, doing nearly everything on his own as he led the team on a 15-0 run in the fourth quarter ultimately finishing the contest with a season high 34 points and 10 assists. While it was certainly an impressive showing, it's one that we don't expect him to replicate tonight. This is arguably a must win situation for the Jazz as they ultimately need to even the series up before heading back on the road for Game 5.
The loss of Blake Griffin for the Clippers should not be understated. While LA has certainly learned to play without their star big man given his recent string of injuries, it is one thing to put together a solid, unified showing for one game, it is completely different to keep it going over the long-term. The Clippers were fortunate to get production from their other role players in Game 3, most notably, Luc Richard Mbah a Moute. Mbah a Moute had averaged 6.1 points and 2.1 rebounds per game over 76 contests this season, yet he had a breakout performance, scoring 15 points, 6 rebounds and 1 assist over 37 minutes of play. We expect his production to be severely decreased in this contest.
Just as we don't expect CP3 or Mbah a Moute to have as stellar a showing as they did in Game 3, we do expect that Derrick Favors will bounce back and have a much better performance than he displayed in his last contest. Favors managed just 2 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists in 38 minutes of work in Game 3. That was a severely poor showing for someone who has been averaging 14 points per game in the series. We expect the 7-year veteran to have a much better showing tonight.
The Jazz should come into this contest extremely motivated having let Game 3 slip through their fingers. Having disappointed their home fans who have waited a long time to see their team pick up a playoff victory, we don't expect that they will disappoint them once again. The Jazz arguably should have won Game 3; however, we don't believe they will leave any doubt in this one as they go on to even up the series tonight.
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