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AprilĀ 20, 2017

There is one pick tonight.   

Take Indiana Pacers +2 spread against Cleveland Cavaliers for 3% of the bankroll.

The Indiana Pacers will be in full-blown desperation mode tonight as the Cleveland Cavaliers are firmly in control of this series, up 2 games to zero. Indiana can ill afford to drop a third consecutive game and expect to keep this series competitive. Paul George has shouldered a bulk of the load in the first two games, but now being back in the comforts of their home court, we expect some of the other role players like Myles Turner and CJ Miles to step up and provide valuable contributions in addition to George.

An area where we expect the Cavaliers to regress a bit is in their shooting. The Cavaliers were hot from the field in the comforts of Quicken Load Arena as they shot 55.3% from the field and went 13 of 31 from three-point range in Game 2. With Game 3 now being played in Bankers Life Fieldhouse, in hostile territory we expect that their hot shooting will cool down a bit in this contest. Meanwhile, the Pacers should enjoy a slight rise in their efficiency shooting the basketball now playing in front of their home fans.

The Cavaliers haven't received much help on the glass and that could be problematic for them tonight. They were outrebounded by the Pacers in Game 1 and in Game 2, Kevin Love, Tristan Thompson, and LeBron James combined for 31 rebounds while the remainder of the team contributed just 6. We expect a much more concentrated effort on the glass tonight, especially from the likes of Myles Turner. Turner has been rather quiet throughout this series, but we would be surprised if he played a major role and had an impact in this game tonight.

We've seen the same scenario unfold in the first two games of this series where the Cleveland Cavaliers develop a lead and then take their foot off the gas to allow the Indiana Pacers to close the gap and keep the contest close. The Cavaliers Big 3 have provided most of the offense with very little contribution from their other utility players and at some point this series, we believe it is going to catch up with them. Cleveland is rather fortunate to not be heading into Indiana with the series tied. In each matchup, the Pacers fell short of rallying, however they have managed to keep things close in the final minutes. We believe the change is venue will be the difference maker in the Pacers finally pulling off the outright victory and clawing their way back into this series.

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