Members Only

AprilĀ 16, 2017

There is one pick this afternoon.

Take LA Angels (-110) on the Money Line against Kansas City Royals risking 3.3% to win 3%.
(Skaggs and Kennedy must start for wager to have action)

The Los Angeles Angels will try to not only avoid losing a 5th straight, but will look to avoid being swept this afternoon at Kauffman Stadium as they close their series with the Kansas City Royals.

Tyler Skaggs has not had the start to the season that LA had expected as he has struggled in each of his two starts to the season, giving up 5 runs in each appearance. While those surface statistics appear telling, it does not paint a true picture. Skaggs has actually pitched rather well, but has made costly mistakes by walking batters and giving up the long ball. As the season progresses, we expect Skaggs to round into form and with two starts underwhelming starts under his belt already, we expect a much more solid effort from the lefty this afternoon. Skaggs had success in his lone start against the Royals last season, going 7 innings allowing just 3 hits and no runs while striking out 5.

Kansas City is a team that is patient at the plate and good at making contact, however they are not a power-hitting team. They are a team that relies on stringing together base hits and earning runs the hard way, which is a reason why they prefer to rely on their starting pitching and playing in lower scoring games. If they must rely on their starting pitching keeping this a low scoring game, they Royals could be in for a long afternoon. Ian Kennedy is not the pitcher he once was and has not had much luck facing the Angels in his career. Kennedy is winless in 4 career starts and has taken the loss in every game. He has a career 6.86 ERA and 1.714 WHIP. Dating back to last season, in his last 11 innings against this potent lineup, Kennedy has given up 9 total runs and 13 hits! Even though we have not seen much of it over the last two games, this Angels offense is extremely dangerous and has numerous hitters who can take the ball yard. We wouldn't be surprised to see that offense come to life in this contest.

What was once one of the most feared bullpens in the league, the Kansas City bullpen has struggled to start the season. In 32 innings, they have collectively given up 25 earned runs. What is most worrisome and something that the Angels could take advantage of this afternoon is the fact that the KC pen has also allowed 27 free passes on base. They have allowed two more walks than they have strikeouts on the season. Allowing hitters to get to base is a dangerous proposition, especially with the power that the Angels offense has. If this is a low scoring game, those free passes could be the difference in this contest if the Angels are able to capitalize.

Even though the season is still young, this is an extremely important game for the Angels in terms of being able to renew their confidence. They started the season off hot right out of the gate, but now have fallen into a slump. The motivation to not only snap their recent losing streak but also avoid being swept in the series will be enough for the players to rally and pull off the victory.

Bankroll Tutorial:

Please refer to the important SPS Bankroll System instructions received via email upon joining.