Members Only

September 16, 2016

There is one MLB pick tonight. Please scroll down to view the details.

NOTE: A fourth college football selection has been posted for tomorrow! Three were already released earlier this week.

Take Boston Red Sox (-160) on the ML against NY Yankees risking 4.8% to win 3%.

New York's already slim playoff hopes took a big hit last night when they threw away the game in the bottom of the 9th inning! Tanaka outdueled Eduardo Rodriguez but that was still not enough as Boston proved once again that they are never out of a ball game. They lead the Majors by some distance in come from behind wins when heading into the 9th inning and trailing by more than 1 run!

For a team that was already playing catchup and needs a lot of things to go its way, the Yankees shot themselves in the foot yesterday. They went into the 9th inning with a comfortable 5-2 lead and yet those final 3 outs proved extremely difficult to get as the Red Sox rallied to walk off with a 7-5 victory! The 5-run inning was probably the final nail in NY's pennant aspirations as they now find themselves 5 games behind division leaders, Red Sox. It also was a blow to their hopes of attaining a Wild Card spot since the Blue Jays won and they still have Astros, Mariners and Tigers all ahead of them in the standings as well. Quite simply put, last night's loss was devastating, not only in the manner it came about but also its implications and we believe the visitors will be quite deflated and dejected tonight because of it.

Boston's offense is the best in the Majors by some distance and will be in confident mood after their late game heroics tonight. The fact that they were able to get to New York's outstanding reliever and new closer Dellin Betances will also serve them well. Betances has now pitched in several straight games and we don't see Joe Girardi putting him out there in this matchup even if the Yankees do find themselves in a 'save' situation. And since Andrew Miller and Arolidis Chapman have departed for Cleveland and Chicago respectively, that leaves a lot of question marks. The vaulted NY bullpen that had Betances, Miller and Chapman follow each other in what the fans coined the deadly B-M-C combo is no longer there and with Betances likely being unavailable tonight, it only makes matters more difficult. Even if Joe Girardi does throw him out there in the late innings, Betances may not be sharp or fresh since his arm has had a lot of work recently and little rest.

Clay Buchholz has had a largely inconsistent season but he has since turned things around somewhat and is making a late surge to be a post-season candidate for John Farrell's side. Other than his last outing against the powerful Toronto offense which was a shortlived one, he'd done well in recent games. We don't expect him to be dominant but we do believe he'll do well enough to keep Boston in this game. Eduardo Rodriguez wasn't exactly sharp last night either and yet it ultimately didn't matter. With the Red Sox beaming with confidence and the Yankees still wondering 'what could have been...' we believe the hosts will clinch another 'W' and this time have an easier time doing so. Luis Cessa has done well enough so far for the Bronx Bombers but he's given up a lot of home runs (8) in just 5 starts! That could be a problem for him at Fenway Park against an offense that has no shortage of power.

Other notable facts to consider:

  • Red Sox lead the Majors in batting average (.286) and runs scored (812)!
  • Yankees have won only 1 of 5 games as a road underdog of +150 to +175 this season.
  • Red Sox are 15-7 at home this season when the Vegas total has been set at 10 or more runs.

Bankroll Tutorial:

Please refer to the important SPS Bankroll System instructions received via email upon joining.