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October 6, 2016

There is one pick tonight.

In addition, a selection for Saturday has also been posted.
 

Take Western Kentucky -2.5 spread against Lousiana Tech for 3% of the bankroll.

A C-USA matchup between two of the best offenses in the conference take place tonight when the Western Kentucky Hilltopper travel to take on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs.

Western Kentucky comes into this contest with a 3-2 record on the season. It's important to note that their two losses this season have come to SEC members Vanderbilt and the defending National Champs, Alabama. While the Crimson Tide defeated Western Kentucky by 28 points, the Hilltoppers gave Vanderbilt all they could handle and arguably should have won the game but ultimately fell short, losing 31-30 in overtime two weeks ago.

WKU QB Mike White had the unenviable task of replacing All-Star QB Brandon Doughty, who graduated last season as Western Kentucky’s record holder in completions, yards and touchdowns, to name a few. White managed to silence the critics and had a spectacular start to the season as he shredded Rice for 517 yards and three touchdowns in Week 1. Already this season he has 1,367 yards and nine touchdowns against three interceptions. He has shown thus far that he is capable of running this offense and we expect him to step up and have a big showing tonight against their conference rivals.

While White has shown his skills under center, it certainly helps that he has arguably the best tandem of receivers in the country in Taywan Taylor and Nick Norris. With 146 receiving yards in last week’s win over Houston Baptist, Taylor brought his season total to 602 yards to go along with six touchdowns. Taylor has gone over 100 yards in four of five games thus far, including a season-high 165 yards Week 1 against Rice. Taylor will be a force on the field in this contest and if he is able to get behind the Bulldogs' secondary, we expect White to make them pay.

Nick Norris is a player that is really starting to come into his own. Last season he posted 971 yards and 5 TDs, but already this season he has amassed 452 receiving yards and five touchdowns and is becoming a reliable go-to for Mike White. He torched Miami (Ohio) for 187 yards and a touchdown and rattled off seven receptions for 147 yards and two scores against Rice. Last week against Houston Baptist, Norris netted 53 yards and two touchdowns.

This matchup could be another opportunity for White to show off his arm as Louisiana Tech is not just one of the worst teams in the conference at defending the pass (10th) but are one of the worst teams in the country. The tandem of Taylor and Norris could make this an extremely long night for the Bulldogs. The Hilltoppers should also have the edge on the defensive side of the ball as well. While they have been somewhat susceptible to the pass, they have been extremely disciplined at stopping the run, ranking 15th in the country and even holding Alabama to just 124 yards on 39 carries in Week 2.

This has all of the makings of an exciting, offensive contest. Both teams have the ability to put points on the board and this could be a contest that is decided by turnovers or a critical stop late. We wouldn't be surprised to see the team who holds the ball last, win the game. That being said, we simply believe that WKU has more playmakers at their disposal, both on the offensive and defensive side of the ball. The Hilltoppers defense has forced a takeaway in each game this season, while the Bulldogs offense has turned it over 6 times already this season. We believe the WKU defense will come up with a critical stop late and that will allow Jeff Brohm's team to come away with a big win and cover.




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