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November 15, 2016

There is one football pick tonight.

There will soon be college basketball picks and of course more NBA action as well.

Take Central Michigan -1 spread against Ohio for 3% of the bankroll.

This is an extremely important game for both teams, however it may be much more so for Central Michigan. After a hot start to the season and controversial win over then ranked Oklahoma State, the Chippewas have fallen on hard times, having lost 5 of their last 7 games, including 3 straight. Despite their recent losing streak, Central Michigan still find themselves in a position to become Bowl Eligible with a victory and this could likely be their best chance to do so. This is their last home game of the season with a tough road contest against a much-improved Eastern Michigan team. A loss here could ultimately end their season on a sour note and we don't expect they will allow that to happen, at least not in front of their home fans in their final game on this field this season.

Central Michigan has had issues with turnovers over their last 4 games. They are -11 in turnover margin however it's certainly worth mentioning that 3 of those 4 contests were played on the road. Their last contest against Miami (OH) was arguably their worst of the season. The finished the contest with fewer than 300 yards and their defense had its worst performance since late September. It was also the first contest where veteran QB Cooper Rush failed to throw a touchdown pass this season. There is no question that Central Michigan has had a hard week of practice this past week and will ultimately be motivated when they step on the field. While we don't expect the Chips to suddenly cure all of the mistakes that have plagued them recently, we do expect that they will play a much cleaner, more fundamentally sound game in this contest.

It's a well-known fact that in order to have success at the collegiate level, that teams must get solid play out of their quarterbacks. Central Michigan should have an advantage in this contest as Cooper Rush is a much more polished and experience player than Ohio's redshirt freshman, Quinton Maxwell. Maxwell hasn't been asked to do much by Frank Solich this season, but this will likely be the youngsters toughest test of the season. The Central Michigan defense has been aggressive at times with Amari Coleman and Josh Cox have picked off three passes apiece, with Coleman returning two for touchdowns and Cox bringing back another for a score. If the defense plays as we expect them to tonight, it could be a long night for Maxwell under center.

This is a matchup that has a skewed public perception. Central Michigan is not as bad as their recent string of games suggest and Ohio has undoubtedly gotten in the favor of the betting public due to its recent winning streak. Central Michigan has owned this series as of late, winning 6 of the last 7 meetings and we expect they extend that streak tonight with a win and cover and becomes bowl eligible.

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