March 26, 2016 (4:00 PM ET)
There is one NBA pick tonight.
Take Charlotte Hornets -3 spread (buy half a point) against Milwaukee Bucks for 3% of bankroll.
These two teams both played last night and are therefore on the second half of a back-to-back schedule! The difference however is that Steve Clifford's squad has more depth than Jason Kidd's as Milwaukee has 4 players that would normally be part of the rotation out injured. The Hornets on the other hand are quite healthy and are only missing Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, a player that has missed most of the season and the team has gotten used to playing without. Not only has Charlotte's deep bench allowed them to keep players fresh on the court and shift strategies for tactical reasons if necessary mid-game but they are also less tired than their opponents for another reason tonight. That being the fact that they were getting blown out in Detroit for 3 quarters last night which meant the coaching staff gave fringe players time on the court and did not have anyone log more than 29 minutes. Key players like Nicolas Batum played only 27 minutes and should be fresher than the likes of Milwaukee's Giannis Antetokounmpo who was on the court for 40 minutes against Atlanta! Jeremy Lin and the rest of his teammates averaged only about 22 minutes while Jabari Parker and Khris Middleton logged +36 minutes! It wouldn't be a surprise then if the Bucks were more fatigued than their opponents tonight because their already thin rotation exerted a lot more energy than Charlotte's starting lineup did last night.
The Hornets are no doubt the better team this season and have their sights set on securing home-court advantage for the first round of the playoffs. They also have one eye on the Southeast division crown and are right behind Atlanta and Miami in the standings. Despite currently sitting as the 6th seed in the East, even 3rd place is up for grabs as only 1.5 games separate them from that position! Given the logjam in the tightly competitive Eastern conference playoff race, Charlotte has a lot to play for. The same can not be said for the hosts tonight. Sure, they would like to snap their losing streak and get a 'W' in front of their fans but real motivation and incentives are not there as the Bucks will not be making the playoffs and are simply going through the motions now. Playing on consecutive nights can be physically and mentally taxing. For a squad like Hornets that are playing with specific goals and a purpose in mind, they are easier to battle through than for a team that has little to play for. Keep in mind that beating inferior competition is something they have made a habit as evident by the fact that Hornets have won 12 of 15 games in the second half of the season when playing against teams with a losing record!
Charlotte is 10 games above a .500 record and has been taking care of business on the road. They've won 8 of their last 11 games away from home and have shown great maturity and improvement this season! This is a playoff-bound team that is still flying under the radar and is undervalued after a rare 'off' game like last night's. They share the ball well, have some excellent well-rounded players and are defensively organized as well. Steve Clifford's team has been one of the very in the NBA since the All-Star break and has actually won 17 of its last 23 games! Now coming off a rare defeat, we believe they'll bounce back tonight. History is on their side as well as Charlotte has won its last 4 visits to Milwaukee! The Bucks have lost 4 in a row and face an unfavorable set of circumstances in this matchup. Look for the Hornets to win this game and cover the short spread in the process.
Other notable facts to consider:
- Hornets have won their last 6 games when they played the night before!
- Bucks are just 1-7 ATS at home when the total is set between 200 and 204.5 points!
- Hornets are a perfect 12-0 ATS after a loss in which they had at least twice as many assists as turnovers!
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