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March 22, 2016 (3:50 PM ET)

There is one NBA pick tonight.

Sports Profit System is 16-6 with NCAA picks in the month of March! We've also won 6 of our last 8 on the NBA hardwood.

A college basketball selection has been released two days in advance, for Thursday.

Take Charlotte Hornets -6 spread against Brooklyn Nets for 3% of the bankroll.

The Hornets are buzzing, having won 8 of their last 10 games! They have been in incredible form since the All-Star break and have their sights set on the division crown. It won't be easy given that they are in fierce competition with the Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks but they are now only half a game behind those two teams and have a realistic chance. They would like to not only win a rare division title but wrap up home-court advantage for the first round of the playoffs. Charlotte has no shortage of incentives to keep piling up the W's where as the Nets have little to gain or lose at this stage of the season.

The Nets are in experimentation mode and coach Tony Brown is certainly doing his part in giving fringe players a chance to impress. He's been employing different lineups and strategies so that new General Manager, Sean Marks, can see what he has to work with and while that is a good idea for the long term aspirations of this franchise, it is detrimental to current results and covering spreads. Rarely used Russian wing Sergey Karasev was for example given playing time recently and that coincided with the Nets not only losing but doing so by double-digits. Brook Lopez sat out the last game due to a virus issue that he normally would have played with. And tonight, it'll be the turn of Rondae Hollis-Jefferson to take the court. The former Arizona Wildcat is an intriguing young player with good potential but he's missed much of the season and has been sidelined for months! This will be his first appearance since an ankle surgery back in January. Is he going to be rusty and probably quite ineffective in this first game? Most likely. Players often have negative plus/minus ratings in their first few games after lenthy layoffs and he should be no different. That means his presence on the court is likely to do more harm than good tonight and that benefits Charlotte backers.

The Hornets are playing on the second night of a back-to-back schedule but while that'll be alarming to some, it shouldn't be in this particular case. That's because Steve Clifford's team owns the best winning record in the Eastern conference (8-4) when having played the night before! This is a deep and talented squad that knows how to navigate such situations and will be in confident mood after knocking off the San Antonio Spurs! Complacency will not be an issue either. French swingman Nicolas Batum had this to say after the game: "Last time we beat Miami, had a great game against them but then had a letdown against Denver in the next game, so we gotta learn from it! So tomorrow, we've gotta be ready right from the start and beat this team!" He's spot on. He and his teammates just recently overlooked an inferior Nuggets squad and paid for it and that means they will be more alert coming into this game than they were then.

Charlotte beat perennial contenders, Spurs, despite the fact that they scored only 7 points in the first quarter! That's right, you read that correctly. They got outscored big time in the opening interval but then displayed the type of determination and tenacity that we've come to expect from them. What's even more interesting is that star PG Kemba Walker had his worst performance of the season in that game! The New York native is the leader of this team and has often single-handedly won them games! He's been playing at an All-Star level and is having the best NBA season of his career and yet had a real off night against San Antonio. Look for him to bounce back tonight against a Nets team that is one of the very worst in the league, defensively! The Hornets have a definite matchup advantage with their guards over the likes of Shane Larkin and Donald Sloan for Brooklyn and that should see them dictate the tempo and pull away for a comfortable victory that covers this reasonable spread.

Other notable facts to consider:

  • Hornets have won 7 of their last 9 road games.
  • Hornets are 10-2 in the month of March which is matched by only Golden State!
  • Hornets have won 11 of 14 games against teams with losing records in the second half of the season!

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