June 7, 2016
One pick has been released.
Take NY Yankees (-160) on the ML against LA Angels risking 4.8% to win 3%.
(Pineda and Huff must both start for wager to have action)
This is a matchup that we believe heavily favors the Yankees. David Huff will be making a spot start tonight for the injured Nick Tropeano and we believe that he will be well out of his depth. In 3 appearances at the Triple-A level this season, Huff lasted just under 12 innings and amassed an unimpressive 5.40 ERA during that span! Everyone knows that the minor leagues are nowhere near as competitive as the Majors and Huff given his struggles in the Minor league, he is poised to struggle tonight.
Huff has had experience at the Major league level in the past, but that experience has not translated into success. He has logged 388 career innings as a major leaguer but was mediocre at best, even in his prime, sporting a career 5.08 ERA in MLB appearances! Now past his prime and working out of the bullpen at Triple-A Level, he is asked to come into Yankee Stadium, a place where he has one previous terrible outing, and will try to chew up 4-5 innings. The Yankees bats should have a field day with Huff in this outing and unless Yankees hit into double-plays or are just terribly unlucky, we believe Michael Pineda will easily outduel him and is way more equipped to not only last longer but perform much better.
Pineda has actually performed much better this season than his ERA suggest as his FIP is a better full 2 runs better! He has had some tough luck this season, but despite that, has shown improvements recently such as this last outing against the Tigers where he gave up only 1 run while striking out 10! Also clutch hitting and momentum is certainly in NY's favor heading into this contest. The Bronx Bombers did their damage with 2 outs and in the later innings in yesterday's game, erasing a 2-0 deficit to go on and win 5-2! It was a morale-boosting 'W' for a team that really needed it and we expect them to carry over momentum into this matchup tonight. The value is on the Yankees tonight.
Other notable facts to consider:
- Yankees are 4-1 as a home favorite of -150 to -175 this season!
- Angels have won only 5 of 20 games against teams with losing records!
- Angels are just 9-20 as a road underdog in this range over the last 3 seasons!
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