January 1, 2016 (10:40 AM ET)
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Sports Profit System wishes its valued clients a happy and prosperous New Year!
At the beginning of 2015, we publicly announced our target of 60 units after changing the average bet size from 2% to 3%. The results were even better than anticipated. SPS not only achieved but surpassed that goal finishing the year with 82 units of profit! It was a record-setting year but one that we firmly believe we can improve on in 2016 having learned some valuable lessons and no longer posting at the restrictive exact preset time that we used to, such as when releasing picks sharply at 2:00 PM ET daily.
One fact that remained the same compared to previous years is that it was proven once again that simply following SPS picks over the course of an entire year is the most lucrative investment! More so than even real-estate or investing in stocks or any other financial securities (ROI) and yet much like those instruments, it does take patience and discipline because there are naturally both ups and downs along the way. The end result ultimately speaks for itself. Clients that were here from Jan 1 - Dec 31 profited more than any other group of sports-bettors and earned a great return on their 12-Month Access membership! By signing up for a long-term package, they not only took advantage of the huge built-in discount but essentially guaranteed their success given that variance has an effect on results in the short run but evens itself out over the course of the year and a large sample size.
January has been our most profitable month historically and was our biggest last year! We look forward to starting the year in style again but as always emphasize that true success is defined by long-term results.
Take the UNDER 39.5 total points in Florida vs. Michigan for 3% of the bankroll.
This is a matchup that we believe will be dictated by what has been the strong suit of both teams this season; their defenses. For the hardcore football fan that prefer to see smash mouth football at its finest, this is likely the game for you. For those who prefer high scoring, offensive shootouts, this is likely one that you will want to skip. The total for this matchup is set at just 39.5 points which is far fewer than most college game but there are good reasons behind it. And even though that is already a very low number, we believe this total could have been even smaller as barring soft flags, points will be at a premium in this contest.
Last year the Michigan Wolverines were absolutely atrocious on the offensive side of the ball. This season, the Wolverines have rushed for fewer yards in 12 games than last. Against Penn State and Ohio State in the final two games of the season, the Wolverines couldn’t manage to break 100 yards as a team! It doesn't help that dynamic freshman RB Jabrill Peppers is also dealing with an injury which will likely limit his explosiveness. Given their struggles on the ground this season, they now have the daunting task of playing against the number 17 ranked rush defense in the country. It’s unlikely that the Wolverines will have a tremendous amount of success running the football in this contest.
Against such a potent run stopping unit, the Wolverines will need to take to the air to move the ball. This is where the Wolverines will need to produce. The passing game has made the most progress of any unit on this squad during the season, struggling until the final four games, when it finally took off, as quarterback Jake Rudock threw for over 250 in each one, setting a school record! Between Jehu Chesson’s emergence with 387 yards in the final three games and tight end Jake Butt’s steady production, Rudock has options. The problem however is that the Gators have been even better against the pass than they are against the run as they rank 11th in the country! They have 2 All-American cornerbacks who will likely make Rudock uncomfortable in the secondary in Vernon Hargreaves III on one side and Jalen Tabor on the other and let's not forget about All-America safety, Marcus Maye as well. These three keep the passing windows extremely tight meaning Rudock will need to be near perfect on his passes in order to move the chains.
There is not much that needs to be said about the Florida offense, or lack thereof. They have struggled this season after the loss and suspension of Will Grier. Treon Harris is a dual-threat quarterback but his passing skills are mediocre at best. He has topped 165 passing yards only twice in the previous seven games and is completing just 52% of his passes. The key for Michigan's secondary is to limit the big plays. Harris had five games with a pass of 40 yards or longer, mostly to Antonio Callaway. Other than a fluke touchdown in garbage time in a blowout loss to the Crimson Tide, Florida has struggled to put the ball in the endzone over their final games of the season and will likely have issues getting touchdowns as opposed to field goals in this one. The Michigan defense will need to focus on stopping the run and limiting the explosive plays over the top. The Wolverines do know a thing or two about defense as they did manage to hold three straight opponents scoreless in the early part of the season!
With both teams having stellar defensive units but offenses that leave a lot to be desired, we believe that points will be hard to come by in this contest. There will be some big plays and likely some turnovers which will result in points however we don't believe both offenses will be marching up and down the field with relative ease. The two coaches will likely rely on their kickers to put points on the board as we don't believe many offensive touchdowns will be scored in this one. If strict refereeing doesn't produce too many pass-intereference flags to bail out offenses on 3rd downs, we believe the two defensive groups will be the stars of this one in what could be a battle of field position. This game should stay low scoring if special teams does not play a huge role.
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