February 25, 2016 (3:44 PM ET)
Take Phoenix Suns at -1 spread against Brooklyn Nets for 3% of the bankroll.
There is no question that the Phoenix Suns are desperate for a win and tonight they should find themselves in a favorable spot to finally get it. The Nets have just completed the buyout of Joe Johnson this afternoon! In the long run this is a a good move for the them in order to alleviate some cap space and get his high salary off of the books; however, for this particular matchup tonight, all it really does is create confusion and complicate roles. Johnson was scheduled to be in the starting lineup as he has been pretty much the entire season, however will now not feature due to this afternoon's transaction. Even though he is no doubt past his prime, he was still a key contributor for Brooklyn offensively and a veteran that knows how to close games out. He logged as many as 34 minutes in the last game and many plays were specifically designed for Johnson and getting the ball into his hands, so now not only do the Nets need to shift their starting rotation, they also need to re-think their entire offensive game plan!
For all of the Suns' struggles this season, they are still a team that has a nice mix of young talent and veteran leaders like Tyson Chandler, PJ Tucker and Ronnie Prince. They have a solid corps of young talent in Alex Len, Devin Booker and Archie Goodwin and Jon Leuer who may each have a bright future. One player that could potentially have a big night if given proper minutes is former Net, Mirza Teletovic. The sharpshooting Bosnian specializes in 3-point shots and bucketed many for Brooklyn over the last 2 years before heading to Phoenix. We wouldn't be surprised if he looks to light up his former employers to remind them of what he's capable of. It's also worth noting that Phoenix is 10-2 ATS at home after a double-digit loss this season!
This is no doubt a poor Suns team, however getting rid of the sulking Markieff Morris has at least helped the locker room reunite and there's a better feel in the atmosphere. This is really a do or die game for Phoenix. Their new coach Earl Watson is still winless since taking over for Jeff Hornacek and no doubt wants his first W badly! He's in charge on an interim basis and if he wants to keep the job permanently, his side is gonna have to start winning some games. IF the Suns don't register a victory tonight, their losing streak which currently sits at 12 is likely to get even uglier given the fact that that they face the Memphis Grizzlies up next and then have a long and daunting road trip! That makes this contest a very important one for the home side. This is a battle between the 2nd worst team in West vs. 2nd worst team in East but we believe Devin Booker and company will have more urgency about them and pull out a much needed win.
Phoenix has had success in this building in the past having gone 14-4 against Brooklyn in the last 18 meetings. Given their past success as well as their recent (lengthy) losing streak, we are now getting them at a much shorter spread than we would normally see. The Nets are as dysfuncational as the Suns and are often big underdogs on the road. There is certainly no question that many have jumped off the Phoenix bandwagon long ago, however there are always certain times and situations where value presents itself and we believe tonight is one of those. Phoenix's ugly track record should have no bearing on this matchup as this is a winnable game for a hungry squad that has recently been embarrassed and needs to snap out of it. They are facing a lowly opponent that has won only 4 of its 24 road games this season! The value lies with the home team tonight.
Please refer to the important SPS Bankroll System instructions received via email upon joining.