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December 2, 2016

There is one pick tonight. It was released yesterday to take advantage of the line value.

SPS has also released two selections for Saturday!
 

Take Ohio +18.5 spread against Western Michigan for 3% of the bankroll.

While this is indeed a championship game, all the pressure is on the Western Michigan Broncos in this matchup. Not only are they trying to finish the season undefeated, but they are also in line for the Group of Five bid to a New Year’s Six bowl game, Western Michigan will need to win and win convincingly to make sure they stay ahead of a surging Navy team in the rankings. Add to that, the constant rumors about the status of head coach P.J. Fleck next season and there are plenty of distractions that this team will be trying to drown out. If WMU doesn't come into this contest 100% focused, things could get very interesting against a well-coached Bobcats team in Detroit.

The Ohio Bobcats aren’t a flashy team and rely heavily on their stingy defense to win games in one of the most offensively-fueled leagues in the country. There’s a reason the team is a nearly three-touchdown underdog heading to Ford Field on Friday but at the same that also means this team has little to lose. They aren't expected to win this game and because of that, they will have the luxury of playing loose and free. The coaches on Frank Solich’s staff have seen just about everything in their lengthy tenures and are no strangers to pulling off with an upset. Ohio has some talented players on the roster like defensive end Tarell Basham and young cornerback Javon Hagan (three picks, five forced fumbles on the year) and it will be interesting to see what they do with their backs against the wall and a championship on the line.

Few are giving this Ohio team much of a chance in this game but that’s probably just what Solich wants after pulling off some remarkable upsets over the years. There is some hope that senior quarterback Greg Windham will be back under center for this one after missing the team’s last three games and he could provide a nice boost to the offense that will need some sort of jolt if the Bobcats’ defense can’t dominate in the trenches like they were earlier in the year.

There is no question that the Broncos are the better overall team in this contest. Zach Terrell and Corey Davis have been sensational in the passing game, the ground game has been solid with Franklin and Bogan and the Bronco defense has held their own against some of the top offenses in the conference. This is the single most important game for Western Michigan, with a ton of accolades hanging in the balance. All they will want to do is win and to do that, they will need to play mistake free football. It's one thing for Western Michigan to win the game, it's another to win the game by nearly three touchdowns. If Western Michigan comes in with a conservative style game plan, it will likely allow Ohio to keep things close and well within striking distance. Even if Western Michigan jumps out to a substantial lead, given the generous number of this spread, it wouldn't be surprising if Ohio was able to generate a late score or two to get a backdoor cover. This is simply too many points to lay in a championship game!




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