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August 31, 2016

There is one MLB selection tonight.

Take Atlanta Braves (-140) on the ML against San Diego Padres risking 4.2% to win 3%.
(Wisler and Clemens must start for wager to have action)

The Braves own the worst record in the league and yet SPS rode them to a convincing victory last night. They were up 5-0 before eventually winning 7-3 after giving up a late run. It was a win that was almost never in doubt and came about due to the advantageous pitching matchup between Julio Teheran vs. Edwin Jackson. Tonight's contest is similar in the sense that we believe the hosts once again have the starting pitching edge, this time with Matt Wisler.

Wisler is a young prospect that has shown flashes of brilliance this season. After a rough stretch however, he was demoted to Triple-A on July 29th in a move that we believe has benefited him. A few starts in the minors has him attacking hitters more aggressively and helped him regain his confidence. He rejoined the big league club last week and was outstanding in Arizona against the Diamondbacks in his first start. He nearly threw a no-hitter last Wednesday in a hitter-friendly ballpark and will be confident of performing well tonight!

San Diego will hand the ball to Paul Clemens and while some of his off-speed pitches seem to have good life on them, he's not deserving of a rotation spot. He has yet to record a quality start in the Majors this season despite 6 attempts! He has struggled to get past the 5th inning and it wouldn't surprise us if that trend continued tonight. Facing a lineup second time through the order has been problematic for him and with the Atlanta offense having found its groove, it could be more of the same for the 28-year old. The Braves scored 7 runs last night and are seeing the ball well at the moment. It could have been even more lopsided if ATL hadn't hit into 3 double-plays! Despite the easy 'W' last night, some players like Matt Kemp performed very poorly. Look for him to raise his game against the club that traded him mid-season and prove a point.

Neither club has much to play for at this point but while the Braves were always in rebuilding mode this season, Andy Green's team has more reason to be disappointed since they were supposed to contend. The Friars have changed plans several times over the last couple of years and that hasn't helped matters transition smoothly. They've also been abysmal on the road and lost 7 of their 9 games away from Petco Park! Look for Freddie Freeman and company to give the home fans something to cheer about, in the form of back-to-back wins, in what is the Braves' final season at Turner Field.

Other notable facts to consider:

  • Padres rank dead last in the Majors with just a .237 batting average!
  • Atlanta has won 6 of its last 8 games when hosting San Diego.
  • Paul Clemens has yet to get more than 16 outs in any of his appearances this season.

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