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August 22, 2016

There is one pick tonight.

Take Milwaukee Brewers (+109) on the ML against Colorado Rockies risking 3% to win 3.27%.
(Nelson and Bettis must start for wager to have action)

This is an interesting matchup as the Colorado Rockies are coming off a series where they took 2 of three games from the league leading Chicago Cubs. Prior to that series they also managed to grab 2 of three from the division leading Washington Nationals. Series victories against two of the top teams in the league no doubt gave the Rockies a huge amount of confidence heading into this series with the Milwaukee Brewers, however we believe their over-confidence will ultimately be their downfall in the opener.

There is no question that the Rockies have been a team that has shown their ability to play up to their level of competition. Their series with the Nats and Cubs gave them the extra motivation needed to prove themselves against the best teams in the league. Tonight however they could find themselves struggling to stay motivated as they face one of the bottom tiered teams in the league in the Milwaukee Brewers. We expect that they will likely come in overlooking their opponents and we expect the Brewers to catch them (somewhat) by surprise.

The Milwaukee Brewers have no doubt been a team that has struggled this season. They had hit the skids, having lost 6 straight prior to last night's come from behind victory over the Seattle Mariners. Milwaukee managed to rally in the top of the 9th inning where they scored 4 runs to ultimately 'steal' the victory from Seattle. That had to be a huge confidence building win for a team that hasn't had much to celebrate recently. We expect that the momentum that they gained at the end of that contest to spill over into tonight's matchup with the Rockies.

Pitching has been an issue for both of their clubs this season, but we actually expect the Brewers to have an edge on the mound tonight with Jimmy Nelson. Nelson has struggled in his last few starts but still sports a respectable 3.24 ERA in over 80 innings pitched at home this season. Meanwhile, the opposite is true for Rockies starter Chad Bettis. Bettis has struggled on the road this season and owns a 5.20 ERA with a 1.451 WHIP. The perception of both of these teams is somewhat skewed at the moment given their recent results, but this is a particular matchup that we believe favors the home team off a dramatic win and they should be able to take advantage of a Rockies team who is primed for a letdown.

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