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August 15, 2016

There is one pick tonight.

Take Miami Marlins (-126) on the ML against Cincinnati Reds risking 3.78% to win 3%.
(Phelps and Finnegan must start for wager to have action)

This is an interesting matchup tonight as the Marlins open up a series with the Reds. The Cincinnati Reds have been playing well recently and that has likely swayed a bit of the public perception on them, however it's important to remind everyone that this is a still a team who is 20 games under a .500 record and for much of the season, has been inconsistent and unreliable.

The Miami Marlins however are a team that is still in the mix for a potential playoff spot, but have hit somewhat of a rough patch recently. They suffered a big loss on Thursday with slugger Giancarlo Stanton suffering an injury that will likely sideline him a couple of weeks. That being said, this is a series that the Marlins desperately need in order to keep their playoff hopes alive. They struggled in their series with the White Sox, but did manage to take their series finale yesterday, where they managed to hits 5 runs off Chris Sale to hand the Chicago 'Ace' a rare loss.

The Fish won yesterday and it didn't come as much surprise. This is a team that has dominated left handed pitchers all season long and currently have the best record in the league against Southpaws at 20-8 overall. That being said, the Reds will send lefty Brandon Finnegan to the mound for this contest. While Finnegan has pitched well as of late, he has struggled in this ballpark this season, going just 3-3 with a 4.31 ERA. The Reds are just 4-7 when he has taken the mound at home this season. Given how Miami has knocked around lefties this season and the fact that they are currently ranked 2nd in the league in hits, they should be able to score some runs off Finnegan in this contest.

The Marlins will send David Phelps to the mound in what will be his 3rd start of the season. Phelps has been spectacular through just under 10 innings of work this season, giving up just 8 hits, a single earned run while striking out 9! What we find most impressive about Phelps is the fact that he appears to be a very composed pitcher on the mound. His start against the Rockies at Coors field in which he held the Rockies to just 4 hits while giving up zero earned runs in his first start of the season was extremely impressive. We expect he should have some success against the inconsistent bats of the Reds tonight.

Miami desperately needs this series in order to keep pace in the Wild Card race and given the way that they have been able to score off left handed pitchers this season, they will have the advantage tonight and come away with a closely contested victory.

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