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August 14, 2016

There is one pick today.

Take Colorado Rockies (-120) on the ML against Philadelphia Phillies risking 3.6% to win 3%.
(Chatwood and Morgan must start for wager to have action)

The Rockies close out their 3 game set with the Philadelphia Phillies this afternoon. The Phillies have managed to take the first two games of the series in rather convincing fashion and while they have certainly been playing well, this is arguably the Rockies best chance to pick up the win and avoid the series sweep.

Tyler Chatwood has had an up and down season thus far, but one thing has remained constant for the right hander and that has been his ability to perform on the road. Chatwood has been one of the league’s best pitchers on the highway this season, going a perfect 6-0 with an ultra-impressive 1.30 ERA. The Rockies are also 8-1 in his starts on the road this season. He has had quite a bit of success against the Phillies in his career, going 2-1 with a 3.27 ERA in 4 career starts. He should be able to have success on the mound once again this afternoon.

The Phillies will send Adam Morgan to the hill in this series finale this afternoon and to say that Morgan has been struggling this season would be an understatement. Morgan is just 1-7 on the season and is near the top of the league for worst ERA in the Majors with a less than impressive 6.89 ERA! He has struggled at home, going 0-5 and has given up 28 earned runs in just 31 innings of work which is good for a 7.26 ERA! He will also be making his first start since 7/7 which, coincidentally enough, was against this same Rockies squad. In that contest Morgan had given up 9 hits and 6 earned run (with 3 homers) in just 5 innings! We wouldn't be surprised to see a repeat performance in this contest.

The Rockies have cooled off somewhat since their impressive winning streak to at the tail end of July, however this is still a dangerous team with a potent offense who still has an outside shot at making the playoffs this season. We expect that they will be motivated in this contest, looking to avoid the series sweep and given the way that Chatwood has been pitching this season, they have a great chance to do just that. It could be a very short outing for Morgan in this contest as the Rockies do just enough damage to come away with the victory.

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