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August 3, 2016

There are 2 picks tonight.

#1: Take Colorado Rockies (-125) on the ML against LA Dodgers risking 3.75% to win 3%.
(Anderson and Stewart must start for wager to have action)

The Rockies continue to be one of the hottest teams in baseball at the moment. Since the All-Star Break, they are an impressive 13-5 after last night's 7-2 victory over the Dodgers and have propelled themselves to just 3.5 games back of the second NL Wildcard. While many had written Colorado's season off in the first half of the season, they have banded together and now seemed focused to prove their doubters wrong. It has been years since the Rockies have even been in the hunt for a playoff berth, let alone make the playoffs. The players now seem to share a common goal and have that has motivated this entire franchise. That makes this Colorado team extremely dangerous given the sheer explosiveness of their offense. Right now is a bad time for any team to face the Rockies.

The LA Dodgers couldn't get it done with Brandon McCarthy on the mound and we expect that they will struggle once again as Brock Stewart has been nominated to make a spot start in place of Kenta Maeda. Stewart has only started one game this season and it wasn't exactly a stellar performance. He went just 5 innings giving up 8 hits and 5 earned runs in a loss at Milwaukee. What was impressive about his performance was the fact that he notched 8 strikeouts; however that was against the Milwaukee Brewers. The Rockies are a much different hitting team and are currently near tops in the league in runs scored and batting average. Coors Field is also an extremely tough place for opposing pitchers to play, let alone young, inexperienced ones. The Colorado bats will no doubt have the advantage in this contest.

A big part of the Rockies recent success has been due to their pitching. Pitching has always been a pain point for this team; however they have been getting quality outings from a number of players in their rotation. Even if the Rockies pitching can hold opponents to just 2 or 3 earned runs a night, their offense has shown that they are more than capable of keeping them in the ballgame with a single swing of the bat.

Tyler Anderson will get the start for Colorado and is coming off an impressive performance against the Mets in which he went 6 innings giving up 7 hits and just a single earned run while striking out 5. The most impressive thing about Anderson thus far has been his ability to keep the ball within the confines of the park. 6 of his 9 starts this season have come at Coors Field and yet he has only allowed 2 homeruns this season, which is impressive given this venue. He's also a pitcher that doesn't give a lot of free passes on base. His K:BB ratio is a respectable 46:10 on the season. If Anderson can continue to force the Dodgers to play small ball tonight and don't allow baserunners free passes, he should be able to contain the Dodgers offense and outduel his counterpart.

The oddsmakers are slow to adjust the odds on Colorado despite how well they have been playing as of late and we will take advantage of that. They recently evened up their record and are now playing .500 baseball. While that doesn't sound that impressive, given how much ground the Rockies have made up in a short amount of time makes it impressive. They are a single victory away from being called a "winning team" and you can bet the players would like nothing more than to hear that. There is a reason why the Rockies are the favorites in this particular matchup and we believe they'll come away with yet another victory tonight.

#2: Take Boston Red Sox (-117) on the ML against Seattle Mariners risking 3.51% to win 3%.
(Porcello and Iwakuma must start for wager to have action)

Red Sox manager John Farrell made a technical error last night in leaving David Price in the ballgame. Price had pitched 7 innings at that point and the Red Sox had a 4-0 lead in the top of the 8th. Instead of pulling Price, Farrell decided to leave him in. Price faced Mike Zunino in the bottom of the 8th and Zunino homered on the first pitch. That alone should have been enough to take Price out of the game, but Farrell allowed him to continue. Price then gave up singles to the next three batters, surrendering yet another score. At that point Farrell waved the white flag and took Price out of the game. Unfortunately for the Red Sox it was too little too late as Fernando Abad came in and surrendered a 3 run homer to give the Mariners the lead and ultimately secure the victory. It was a tough loss for the Sox last night and you can bet that they will be out for a manner of revenge tonight.

The pitching is what let the Red Sox down last night, we don't believe that will be the case tonight when the Red Sox most reliable starter, Rick Porcello takes the mound tonight. Porcello is currently 14-2 on the year with a 3.47 E.R.A and 111 strikeouts. He last started in a win in Los Angeles against the Angels. Porcello pitched a complete game where he gave up only 2 earned runs on 5 hits. He has had some success in his career against the M's going 6-3 with a 3.73ERA and WHIP of 1.197 in 10 career starts. Seattle will likely have a hard time mounting much offense against him tonight.

Offense however has not really been much of an issue for the Sox this season. Xander Bogaerts is hitting a team high .326 with 25 doubles and 67 RBIs while David Ortiz is having a monster last season  hitting .316 with team high 25 home runs and 85 RBIs and Mookie Betts is hitting .306 with 56 extra base hits and has driven in 70 runs this season.

Hisashi Iwakuma will take the mound for the Mariners tonight and while he has been having a solid season, he is coming off an outing where he was roughed up against another highly explosive offensive team in the Chicago Cubs. Iwakuma last just 3 innings, giving up 8 hits and 5 earned runs in that contest. It will be interesting to see if he can shake that performance off, however it is unlikely as he has not has much success against this Boston lineup in the past having gone just 1-1 with an 8.18 ERA and WHIP of 1.995 in 5 career outings!

The Red Sox are currently in a very close battle for first place in the AL East with both the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays. The Red Sox are also just a half a game ahead of the Detroit Tigers for the second Wild Card spot. Boston is desperately in need of wins at the moment in order to create some separation in the standings. Things are so close in the AL that despite how well Boston has played, they have a chance to potentially miss the playoff altogether if they go on a lengthy losing streak. After taking one on the chin last night, we expect the Sox to be out for revenge in this contest.

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