September 24, 2015 (Posted at 2:00 PM ET)
Take NY Giants at -3 spread against Washington Redskins for 3% of the bankroll.
The New York Giants are being written off after a 0-2 start to the season but we believe they are in a prime position to bounce back tonight! While we don't rate them highly overall, they are being undervalued right about now as the G-Men could easily have had a 2-0 start! They are the only team to have led by double-digits in the 4th quarter of both games only to collapse and end up on the losing side! Some of that has been due to poor clock management and some due to nerves and poor decision making. Regardless of whose fault it is, this club has suffered 2 heartbreaking losses by making uncharacteristic mistakes that can be remedied and are unlikely to be repeated. That's because lost in the media narrative is the fact that Tom Coughlin's Big Blue has actually done a lot of things well so far this season. Afterall, they have been in a great position to get W's very late in games but have thus far failed to close them out, something that we believe will change tonight.
The Redskins had an impressive showing against the Rams on Sunday and are now suddenly being touted as NFC East contenders by many! That displays the fickle nature of the NFL world where from one week to next, the majority of bettors jump on and off bandwagons and quickly make conclusions about teams. One solid performance and all seems to be forgotten about the bad chemistry and disfunction of this roster. One win isn't gonna change our opinion of the job that Jay Gruden has done at the capital thus far and we certainly don't need to be reminded of the identity crisis, disorganization and the mismanagement that this franchise is undergoing. While there have been some positive changes, it'll take another year or so before everyone is on the same page and clearly understands their role and we wouldn't be surprised to see uncertainty resurface at Washington before long.
Eli Manning has made some mental mistakes in the first two games but he looks more comfortable with this offense than last year and has now started 169 consecutive regular season games! In that span, the Redskins have started 10 different quarterbacks! His counterpart, Kirk Cousins is 2-8 in just ten NFL starts and while talented, is inexperienced at this level. Stability and experience are two overlooked aspects in this matchup and ones that give New York a distinct advantage. Cousins has an ugly TD/INT ratio thus far in his brief professional career and will be making his first start on the road this season. In a hostile environment with the added pressure and scrutiny that the bright lights of a midweek NFL game bring, we may see some anxiety in the young QB and his teammates. Afterall, the 'Skins were fortunate to be play their opening two games at home and were even luckier to face two limited offenses in the Dolphins and the Rams. The Giants may be 0-2 but they played two of the better quarterbacks in the league in Ryan and Romo and faced offenses that had the ability to put together last minute game winning drives. Meanwhile the Redskins caught St. Louis in a flat spot after the latter had defeated division rivals, Seahawks in an overtime game!
Let's not forget that even though the Giants have played some poor football over the last few years, they've taken care of Washington with relative ease. They've won 4 in a row against their NFC East rivals with the combined margin of victory being 63 points! The New Yorkers have no room for errors in this spot and certainly can't afford to drop another game at MetLife Stadium and end up 0-3 on the season! This is a must-win game for them and we believe both teams will be sporting identical 1-2 records at the end of the night. Tom Coughlin, Eli Manning and company have been in these high-pressure situations many times in the past and tend to enjoy the bright lights of Thursday night football. The same can't be said about an organization that was facing uncertainty as little as a week ago and still has numerous issues to deal with. Captain Jon Beason will be back on the field tonight and his leadership should help the Giants D get off the field on 3rd downs. That has been one of their main undoings so far this season but against a QB that is trying to win back-to-back games for the first time in his NFL career, we believe they will fare better. DeSean Jackson's continued absence limits this offense and since we don't believe they'll be able to run the ball as well as they did in their first two games, it is the home team that we'll side with. Coughlin's crew will leave it all on the field to avoid the dreaded 0-3 start which would basically be an early season-ender! Given that they are laying only a field goal, we'll take the team that we believe will win the game.
Other notable facts to consider:
- Redskins are just 8-19 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
- Giants have won 11 of their last 14 games against Washington.
- Redskins are 6-19 ATS in games where the total was set between 42.5 to 49 points over the last 3 seasons!
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