October 15, 2015 (2:00 PM ET)
Sports Profit System is in the middle of its 7th consecutive winning month! That's how we define consistency.
Our seasonal MLB record now sits at a remarkable 88-64 mark!
SPS is all about capitalizing on 'value' and when lines and odds are sharp and right where they should be, investors pass while gamblers bet for the sake of doing so. After profiting nicely on Monday Night Football and with baseball yesterday, we are passing on tonight's lone NFL and MLB matchups.
The best value comes in college football in our opinion where 2 picks are being released! One is an early selection for Friday.
Take UCLA at +7 spread against Stanford for 3% of the bankroll.
Since losing their opening season contest against the Northwestern Wildcats, the Stanford Cardinal has not only won but managed to cover 4 straight contests. This has actually set us up for an extremely advantageous spot as there is no doubt Stanford is a team that is currently on the average sports bettors radar.
While many are currently high on the Cardinal, the opposite is true at the moment for the UCLA Bruins as they suffered their first loss of the season in somewhat surprising fashion to the up and down Arizona State Sun Devils. UCLA was thoroughly dominated in that game and we believe that has left their stock somewhat low with the average sports bettor and has allowed us to take advantage of what we believe to be an extremely favorable line. Recent perception of teams plays a huge part in the handicapping process and with both of these teams on opposite end of the spectrum at the moment; we believe the value lies with the underdogs.
Stanford has no doubt been impressive as a of late and they have managed to win 5 straight against the Bruins in recent meetings, however it's important to remember that this is a big time revenge game for the Bruins as it was the Cardinal who upended UCLA in the final game of the season which ultimately knocked them out of the PAC 12 championship game last year. That loss happened to be the worst loss of head coach Jim Morra's career. There's no doubt the UCLA players and coaches remember that and would like nothing more than to stop Stanford's momentum and return the favor by handing them a loss in Palo Alto tonight.
The Bruins have no doubt experience some injuries this season, mostly notable to their most versatile player in LB Miles Jack. Jack is an invaluable playmaker on both the offensive and defensive side of the ball and his loss on the roster no doubt hurts this team, however they have numerous players on the sidelines just waiting to take over and make the most of their opportunity. This UCLA team was on many people's radar this season to contend for a PAC-12 title and we believe that can still be the case. Many were surprised by their loss to the AZ State Sun Devils, but UCLA succumb to quite a vulnerable spot in that contest.
The Bruins have had a week to reflect on that loss and will no doubt come into this contested motivated to get back on track. They are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 contests after a bye week and are an extremely profitable 6-1 ATS when playing in weeknight affairs. QB Josh Rozen has been a welcome addition to this stacked UCLA offense and has continued to mature in each and every game that he has played in. Kevin Hogan is no doubt a veteran signal caller but has shown his indecisive nature at times. Christian McCaffrey has been the true force on this team and if the Bruins can find a way to contain him in the box, we'd be hard pressed to think that Hogan can put his team on his shoulders and win this game. Hogan has been fortunate to have his running backs gain formidable yards on the ground which has taken pressure off the passing game. Stanford is a team that has used the run to set up the pass, but if UCLA can contain the running game, they will have a great shot at not only convering this spread, but winning this game outright.
There is no doubt that Stanford has been impressive since their opening season loss against Northwestern, but they have yet to play a team as balanced and as tough as the Bruins. This will be a clear test for them tonight. To get a quality team like UCLA, coming off a loss with revenge on their minds is a favorable position to be in. Even if they fall short of their goal of winning this game outright, they should do enough with Rozen under center and Paul Perkins in the backfield to at least keep this a closely competitive game. The points are likely to come into play in this one.
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