November 30, 2015 (2:00 PM ET)
There are no NBA picks tonight.
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Take Baltimore Ravens at +4.5 spread against Cleveland Browns for 3% of the bankroll.
The Baltimore Ravens, much like their opponents tonight, are clearly struggling and the added fact that QB Joe Flacco and RB Justin Forsett will miss the remaining of the season with an injury does not help their current situation, however we do believe that the oddsmakers and betting public has pushed this line too far. The fact that Flacco won't be under center is a loss, however given the fact that his team is just 3-7 on the season shows that he wasn't exactly lighting the world on fire with his play. Last week the Ravens managed to pick up the victory despite how poorly Flacco had played turning the ball over time and time again. Matt Schaub will likely get the start tonight and let's not forget that he has had plenty of experience in the role of starting QB during his time in Houston!
With so many injuries to the Ravens starting staff this is an opportunity for all of the younger, lesser known players to make a statement and cement their spot on the roster. This is a team that has a lot of talent that typically hasn't been given their opportunity to showcase and now that they are given the chance we expect them to make the most of it. John Harbaugh also has revenge in mind in this contest after losing to the Browns last month in a home game that went to overtime! Javorius Allen has done an admirable job as the 2nd back behind Forsett this season and will now get the opportunity to be the primary ball-carrier tonight.
As for Cleveland, they have now dropped 5 in a row and are also dealing with injuries of their own including their best defensive player in Joe Haden. They also have issues at the quarterback position with Josh McCown coming back from injury after missing the last couple of games. He may be a bit rusty in the early going which could make it difficult for Cleveland to cover this number if they fall behind early on the scoreboard. All of the pressure is on the home team in this contest with Baltimore missing so many players. On paper, this should be a winnable game for the Browns and the thought of losing to what could be considered a bunch of backups could force these players to simply try too hard not to get shown up. Cleveland has shown their ability to choke under pressure and we believe they will do so again tonight.
The Browns have lost most of their games in similar situations as to this. To now ask them to not only win but to make them convincing favorites and ask them to win by a comfortable margin is another. It puts too much pressure on a team that is short on confidence. Some of these players don't have much experience under the bright lights and national spotlight of MNF and now have to be perfect to not only win but cover the inflated spread. The Ravens meanwhile should be able to come out in this game and play free and loose as not much is expected of them. Baltimore Ravens have been in plenty of these Monday and Thursday games over the last few years and Matt Schaub has plenty of experience as an NFL starting QB.
Cleveland Browns are playing Monday Night Football for the first time since 2009! Interestingly enough, they were shutout 16-0 by the Ravens in that game! Baltimore on the other hand has had plenty of Monday night games and has fared well 9-2 ATS (against-the-spread) in last 11 appearances! This should be a closely contested game in which the precious points may well come into play. All the pressure is on the Browns tonight.
Other notable facts to consider:
- Harbaugh's team is 13-2 against the Browns since he's been in charge!
- Baltimore has also won 7 of 8 games against teams with losing records in the second half of the last 3 seasons!
- Ravens are 8-0-1 ATS on the road since Jan 2012 after a game where they had a turnover margin of +2 or better!
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