November 27, 2015 (4:00 PM ET)
Four college football picks have been released a day in advance!
Take Phoenix Suns at +8.5 spread against Golden State Warriors for 3% of the bankroll.
The Warriors are a perfect 16-0 on the season this year and they have been winning in blowout fashion on what seems like a nightly basis. There is no question that the Warriors are the elite of the elite teams in the league, but it is going to be incredibly difficult to keep up with this torrid pace. They may continue to keep on winning games, but to do so in double digit blowout fashion night after night will eventually come to an end. The Warriors unquestionably have targets on their backs at the moment and will be receiving each and every teams' best shot from here on out.
The Suns may not be off to the best start this season as they fell below .500 with their most recent loss. They do have a talented roster with two very capable guards in the backcourt In Eric Bledsoe and Brandon Knight. Through all the struggles in the early part of the season, Jeff Hornacek's club would like nothing more than to be the first team to hand the Warriors a loss. Phoenix can be a tough place to play and the Warriors have shown themselves to be a bit more vulnerable on the road. While the Splash Brothers have been getting all of the attention, Knight and Bledsoe have shown their ability to carry the team and get hot at a moment’s notice. This is a team that should not be overlooked and that's exactly what the Warriors may do in this contest.
Everyone witnessed the completely blowout of the Lakers by nearly 40 points and now believes that the Warriors have the capability to cover any number, including nearly double digits on the road in this contest! It's incredibly difficult for teams to play on the road and that is normally when we see spreads a bit lower, however with the way the Warriors have been playing, the oddsmakers have the flexibility to inflate the spread a couple of points knowing that they will still get a majority of the action backing Golden State. It's this reasoning that opens up value on the home team.
After this contest the Warriors will travel back to Oracle Arena for a showdown with the Sacramento Kings. Playing on a back to back is tough, especially for a team that everyone is gunning for. We wouldn't be surprised if Steve Kerr limited some of his starters minutes in this contest to conserve energy for tomorrow's showdown. The Warriors have been mounting big leads, which could allow them to get much more complacent in the later stages of the game. That could also leave them open to a potential backdoor cover if the Suns somehow manage to let the game get away from them. We believe this is simply too many points to lay for Golden State in the first of back to back games against an extremely motivated Suns team that would love to play spoiler and move back to a .500 record!
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