June 13, 2015 (Posted at 3:00 PM ET)
Sunday's selection will be posted at noon (12:00 PM ET).
Sports Profit System is 9-2 in June and aims to make it 10 out of 12 tonight!
Take LA Angels (-134) on the Money Line against Oakland A's risking 3% of the bankroll.
(Wilson and Graveman must start for wager to have action)
The Oakland A's are a better team than their record suggests. They have the talent on the roster and deserve more credit than they have gotten. This team will eventually turn their season around and start piling up the victories; however the fact remains that at this very moment, they are a mentally defeated team. This team has been on the losing end of 1 run games pretty much all season long, going just 4-17 in game decided by a single run. They've been competitive but simply cannot get over that particular hurdle. That has to be extremely frustrating for this team and until things change and they can string together a couple of closely contested wins, they likely won't be able to shake that defeatist mentality.
No team has had more heartbreaking losses this season and now they are coming off yet another one last night in a 5-4 defeat at the hands of these same LA Angels. This game certainly should play into the favor of the Halos tonight. Oakland will likely be deflated and heartbroken off yet another close loss, while the Angels should come into this one brimming with confidence off 2 morale boosting wins. Last night's game should have proven more difficult as it was the Angels first game back at home after a long road trip. After having a chance to settle back in and now with Oakland likely playing just a little bit dejected tonight, we don't expect this game to be as close as last night's as the Angels should win this by 2 or more runs.
Bob Melvin's club has been absolutely terrible against left-handed pitchers this season. If 15 attempts against southpaw's this season, Oakland has only managed to come up with just 3 victories. Tonight they face another southpaw in veteran CJ Wilson. Even though Wilson has had a few poor performances in his last few starts, we don't believe he should be discredited just yet. He is still a veteran pitcher who is more than capable of having a quality start. Rarely in baseball do things continue to play out night after night. We believe tonight is the game where Wilson will have a bounce back performance and will do so after so many had already written him off. He has had quite a bit of success against Oakland in his career going 10-5 with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.248 in 20 career starts and expect another solid performance from his tonight.
Graveman's club on the other hand might be 1-0 against Angels after his lone previous outing but for those who remember, he was actually hit hard in that game giving up 3 earned runs on 4 hits while walking 3 batters in just 3 innings of work! He was fortunate that he was not left in the game longer or things could have played out quite differently. We don't believe he'll be as fortunate tonight nor should he get the same type of run support that he did back in April. He has managed to pitch better on the road but navigating a lineup with the likes of Pujols and Trout will again prove difficult.
Halos manager Mike Scioscia was ejected from last night's game after the 1st base umpire made an incorrect call and he argued with him. Replays showed that the Scioscia was indeed right to argue that call and what should have been an infield hit was instead a crucial 'out' for Oakland. Chris Conroy will be the home plate umpire tonight and there's no doubt that he's gone back and watched a replay of last night's incident and realizes the call was incorrect and therefore ejecting Scioscia was a bit harsh. We wouldn't be surprised to see a little bit of biased officiating tonight where the Angels could be the benefactors on those types of close 50-50 type calls/plays.
Angels are 16-11 against division opponents this season and yet they are only 3rd in AL West. At the moment, they are chasing the Houston Astros who occupy the top spot in the division but still have to overtake the Texas Rangers who currently sit one game in front of them. There is no doubt that the Angels aren't satisfied just to be on a 2-game winning streak and know that they have their work cut out for them in what could turn out to be an ultra-competitive AL West division. Now in the midst of a home stand, off a morale-boosting close win, they are in a prime position to extend that streak especially knowing they'll have to face Oakland ace Sonny Gray tomorrow! Gray has been sensational this season and will likely cause some problems for the Angels lineup tomorrow. We expect that LA will do what they can to lock up the series tonight and not be forced into a rubber match where they will likely be at a disadvantage. .
Halos have won 7 of the last 10 against the A's and a big reason for that has been the advantage that they have had with their bullpen. The Oakland pen has been dreadful this season and is even worse on the road where they sport an inflated 5.79 ERA! Injuries to Sean Doolittle and Edward Mujica aren't helping Oakland's bullpen woes but the fact remains that the A's pen has 6 blown saves compared to just 7 saves on the road for an ugly 53.8% record! It's also worth noting that CJ Wilson is a perfect 11-0 in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons! After a rough outing on the road against Yankees, look for his teammates to give him the run support needed tonight to come away with the victory.
Other notable facts to consider:
- Angels are 6-2 as home favorites of -125 to -150 ranges this season.
- Only 15 of Oakland's 55 home runs this season have come against southpaws!
- Angels are 10-2 at home when the total is set at 8 or 8.5 runs this season!
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