July 5, 2015 (Posted at 12:00 PM ET)
The team that's gonna win the World Series will undoubtedly have had a 5-game losing streak at some point in the season as well if not more! They won't care about it at that point nor will anyone else. The same applies to Sports Profit System since we always come out on top and have our eyes set firmly on the prize. Profiting from sports is a marathon, not a race.
Take Toronto Blue Jays (-133) on the Money Line against Detroit Tigers risking 3% of the bankroll.
(Estrada and Verlander must start for wager to have action)
We successfully backed the Tigers in the series opener between these two teams and while they did win the first two games of this set, we believe this afternoon's contest belongs to the Blue Jays. Not only will the Jays be looking to avoid a 3 game sweep this afternoon, but a loss today will also send them back to a .500 record. The Blue Jays are a team that is never completely out of a game. We saw in Game 1 how their lineup was able to go from no hits through 7 innings to exploding for 6 runs in the 8th! They are by far the league’s most prolific offense having crossed home plate a total of 450 times this season! To put things into perspective, the next highest scoring team in the Majors is the NY Yankees yet they have only scored 378 runs this season, so there is a huge difference between first and second.
As we had said this Blue Jays lineup is dangerous from top to bottom. Very few teams can survive getting into a shootout against them, especially now since the Tigers don't have the big bat of Miguel Cabrera in their lineup. With this total being set at 9 runs by the odds makers, this matchup sets up to be a shootout and if that does indeed turn out to be the case it will severely favor the Jays in this one. Blue Jays are the only club with 3 guys who have 15 or more homers in their lineup! It makes things somewhat tricky as an opposing pitcher because the top and heart of the order are completely stacked. If you walk one player there is another there who has to ability to hit the ball out of the park. Russell Martin has gone 'yard' 12 times this season as well of course and has troubled the former CY Young winner. Every single bat in the Toronto lineup has home run power and each player has at least 4 home runs on the season! The Blue Jays also have speed in their lineup as well when they get on base as every player except Justin Smoak has at least 1 stolen base as well.
Justin Verlander is not the MVP pitcher last he was a few seasons ago. Yes he is still a quality pitcher, but his name is not one that strikes fear into the opposition like it had used to. Verlander has become very hittable which isn't a good things going up against the #1 offense in the Majors. In fact the Blue Jays lineup has had quite a bit of success off of Verlander in their careers. Reyes, Bautista, Valencia, Russel Martin, Josh Donaldson and Justin Smoak are all hitting above .300 off of Verlander. This could be an afternoon that is short lived for the once great pitcher. Both David Price and Anibal Sanchez gave the Tigers quality innings in this series, but we believe that all stops this afternoon. Verlander missed time due to a tricep strain and then shortly after coming back, he had to go on DL again this time due to back stiffness. He's had his injuries and it's hard to get proper rhythm now he'll face his most daunting task this season.
Meanwhile, the Tiger bats have hardly ever seen Marco Estrada, and the one that has such as JD Martinez have actually struggled against him. Estrada has been great this season and has flirted with a no hitter not once but twice already this season. He is 1-1 with a 2.15 ERA in his last 3 starts. He had a rough go of it in his last appearance and will no doubt be looking to bounce back and put in a quality performance against the Tigers this afternoon.
We alluded to the injury of Miguel Cabrera earlier and while his loss at the plate is devastating to this offense, his work at first base is also very underrated. Today they will be placing catcher Alex Avila on first base who's only back from a long layoff due to injury himself. With inexperience on the bag we wouldn't be surprised to see some timely errors on the part of the Detroit fielders this afternoon as well which could severely cost them. Toronto has had quite a bit of success in recent years crossing the border to play their neighbors to the South and will have travelling fans with them in Detroit. Having now dropped first 2 games of this series to a potential Wild Card rival, they'll be extremely motivated to avoid the sweep and we believe they will. This is a good price to get on what should be an extremely motivated Jays squad.
Other notable facts to consider:
- Detroit is 2-6 as a small home underdog this season!
- Blue Jays are the only MLB club with three +15 home run guys in their lineup!
- Estrada is 10-3 in road games against teams with winning records over the last 3 seasons!
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