December 9th, 2015 (5:00 PM ET)
Take Detroit Pistons at -4 spread against Memphis Grizzlies for 3% of the bankroll.
The Grizzlies were completely outplayed by the Oklahoma City Thunder last night, ultimately losing by a score of 125-88! That defeat marked the fourth time this season that Memphis has lost by 20+ points. Memphis allowed Oklahoma City to shoot 56 percent from the field, and 50 percent from downtown. Normally a solid rebounding team, the Grizzlies were also decimated on the boards 46-33! For a team that has often relied on its defense, it was an ugly showing and one that will be tough to bounce back from after such a quick turnaround. Not only did the Grizzlies have to endure a significant beatdown, they also suffered a somewhat deflating setback as All-Star Center, Marc Gasol left the game with an ankle injury! His status is questionable tonight and although he'll likely play, there is no doubt that he is far from 100%. With the loss still fresh on their minds, the Grizzlies then had to hop on a plane and travel to the Palace of Auburn Hills in Detroit for a game less than 24 hour later! This squad finds itself in a tough spot both physically and mentally tonight.
The Detroit Pistons are also coming off a big loss and want to bounce back. Unlike their counterparts however, we believe Detroit's loss serves them well tonight. Their loss came on the road in Charlotte, not at home at the Palace of Auburn Hills, a place where Detroit has been on fire this season! Pistons are 8-2 at home and have played much better in front of their passionate crowd. The primary reason behind their success in this venue has been the play of PG Reggie Jackson who has some interesting home and road splits this season, playing far better in Detroit than on the road. Jackson has averaged 23 points on 48% shooting at home while being inefficient (just 38% FG) in their travels. Against a tired Memphis squad and against an undersized Mike Conley and Courtney Lee, he should wreak havoc by both pulling up for jump shots as well as penetrating the lane. Meanwhile Andre Drummond should dominate the paint and give Pistons the rebounding edge. Drummond is by far the best rebounder in the league this season coming away with an average of 16 boards per contest! He was held somewhat in check in Charlotte and we expect a big bounceback performance from his tonight.
This is currently not the same Grizzlies team that we have been accustomed to seeing in years past and because of that there are also rumors that Dave Joerger's job may not be safe in Memphis. There is a feeling that this team does not have the same intensity as previous years and their defensive numbers have suffered. Meanwhile offensively they've never been that good and that has created a problem for this franchise and the direction they're taking. They've been outclassed by the quality teams losing to Spurs and OKC and while Pistons are not in the same category yet, they do have a winning record and are much improved from last year.
The absence of backup Center Brandan Wright has really hurt the Grizzlies as they are lacking big men since Kosta Koufos is no longer with the roster. What that means is that Gasol has had to play extended minutes despite being banged up and now on the 2nd night of a back to back with travel involved, we expect Memphis to not only be mentally frustrated but physically tired as well. JaMychal Green who has been getting minutes at the 4 spot also sprained his knee and had to exit the game last night. Don't get us wrong, Memphis is not a bad team; however we do feel that this is a bad situation that they currently find themselves in; injured and fatigued. Their tired legs may not show up in the first half but very well might in the 4th quarter. At that point or earlier, we expect Pistons to pull awayand cover this short spread in the process.
Other notable facts to consider:
- Pistons are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 home games!
- Grizzlies are just 3-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record.
- Grizzlies are just 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a double-digit home loss!
- Pistons are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points!
Please refer to the important SPS Bankroll System instructions received via email upon joining.