August 27, 2015 (Posted at 11:00 AM ET)
Take the UNDER 8.5 total runs in Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners risking 3% of the bankroll.
(Rodon and Elias must start for wager to have action)
These two left-handed hurlers may not be household names but they're both talented and capable of keeping the opposition at bay. That's especially true against these two particular offenses since both clubs struggle mightily against southpaws. The White Sox were shut-out last night and while we expect them to fare better in this contest, they will still find it fairly difficult against Roenis Elias.
The Cuban lefty showed real promise over the last two seasons but took his spot in the rotation somewhat for granted earlier this season. Now after a two month stint in the Minors, he's being given another chance and is keen to impress. Vidal Nuno was originally supposed to start this game but he will instead work out of the bullpen for the time being so that Elias can get an opportunity. He's made 42 MLB starts over the past two years and has for the most part performed well. He's got a strong arm and is capable of striking out opponents as well as using the defense behind him to generate outs. The Southsiders have only had a handful of plate appearances against Elias. Adam Eaton is the only player to have had any real success against the 27-year old Cuban. Let's not forget that the White Sox have scored an average of only 3 runs against left-handed starters! That is the lowest mark in the Majors and has been a continuous source of frustration for Robin Ventura's side.
Elias should do his part to keep the game fairly low scoring but we believe Carlos Rodon will have an even bigger impact. The rookie has found his confidence at this level and has tossed 3 fantastic consecutive starts! He owns a 2.36 ERA with 27 strike-outs overall in August! He's another crafty lefty that can leave offenses baffled and that's exacty what he did in his previous outing against the M's which was just a week ago in Seattle. He struck out 8 batters in that contest and gave up only 1 earned run but took a no-decision. He'll be confident of repeating his strong start given that he owns a miniscule 1.23 ERA over his past 3 starts! While we expect Nelson Cruz and company to have a bit more success against him than they did at Safeco Field recently, he'll still have an edge over them. The 22-year old has punched out 114 batters this season and will fare well if he can limit the number of free passes (walks). Add to that the fact that the Mariners are another club that disappoints when facing southpaw pitchers, scoring only 3.7 runs per game on average and you have two hurlers that are capable of having a duel and providing quality starts.
Both clubs got a strong and lengthy outing from their Aces (Chris Sale and Felix Hernandez) last night when they battled the Red Sox and the Oakland A's respectively. That allowed the vast majority of their relievers to have the night off and reduce their workload in preparation for tonight's series opener. McClendon and Ventura will have a fresh bullpen to call upon and that is another factor that should keep the game rather low scoring. It's worth noting that the White Sox 'pen has a respectable 3.17 ERA at Cellular Field this season and often closes games out when they have the lead. Add in the fact that the Chicago defense has turned the most double-plays (128) in the American League and you can see why the Seattle hitters which rank #13 out of fifteen in AL batting average are likely to have another frustrating night. If UNEARNED runs aren't scored, we highly doubt this game will go 'Over'. Only anomalies like fielding errors which are rare or extra innings can make this game the shootout that some incorrectly expect. If this contest avoids extra innings, we believe it'll stay 'Under' and feature no more than 8 runners crossing home plate.
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