August 18, 2015 (Posted at 2:00 PM ET)
There are two picks tonight.
#1: Take the UNDER 9 total runs in Cleveland Indians vs. Boston Red Sox risking 3% of the bankroll.
(Bauer and Rodriguez must start for wager to have action)
We believe that the total on this game has been inflated, mainly due to the recent perception of these two pitchers. Both Trevor Bauer and Eduardo Rodriguez are coming off severely disappointing outings. Bauer has dropped 4 of his last 5 decisions and was most recently rocked by the Yankees in just 3.1 innings as he allowed 6 runs on 7 hits. That being said, Bauer's road to home discrepancy is one of the highest in the league as he has been stellar on the highway this season. He is 5-3 with an impressive ERA of 2.35 over 10 starts on the road.
Eduardo Rodriguez will take the mound for the Red Sox and despite getting lit up in his last start against the Miami Marlins. Rodriguez has been one of the most reliable pitchers for Boston this season. He allowed 8 runs on 9 hits in a 14-6 loss in his last start; however he has shown the ability to bounce back strong after such poor outings. He has allowed 6 or more runs 4 times this season, however, in his other 10 starts, he's been the best Red Sox pitcher by far as he is 6-1 with a 1.71 ERA.
The Indians have shown their struggles this season against left handed pitching and if Rodriguez pitches like he's shown that he can this season, he should be able to hold the Indians offense at bay. The betting public is expecting this to be a high scoring contest mainly because of each pitchers previous outing. In order to be a successful handicapper, it's important to have a short term memory and not base future expectations on past performances. Both of these pitchers have shown their ability to put in quality outings this season and a couple of bad outings do not alter that fact. Let's not forget that both offenses have shown their abilities to go cold on a moment’s notice. Had it not been for one 5 run innings last night, Game 1 would have fallen severely short of the total.
If both pitchers can limit the damage in the early innings, we believe this will turn out to be a low scoring battle much to the dismay of the betting public. This is the ideal situation where the public has too high of an expectation and they will likely be disappointed at the end. We believe this game will fall just short of the set total if it doesn't go to extra innings.
#2: Take Washington Nationals (-151) on the Money Line against Colorado Rockies risking 4.53% of bankroll to win 3%.
(Zimmermann and Hale must start for wager to have action)
The Nationals are in the midst of one of their worst slumps of the season! Picked by many to challenge for the World Series, they are currently experiencing one of their worst slumps in a long time at the most inopportune time. They have lost 6 straight games and have suddenly fallen 4.5 games back of the Mets in the division and an even more staggering 9.5 games back of a Wild Card spot! The Nats are under .500 for the first time since back in May and if they don't turn things around immediately, they will likely miss the playoffs. This is a quality team that is desperate to change their recent fortunes and will be motivated to get that much needed win. With the Nats struggling mightily at the moment, they may be facing the exact opponent needed to break them out of their slump. Washington will also be looking for revenge against the Rockies as it was Colorado who stole two of 3 from them in DC at the beginning of the month.
The Colorado Rockies have for the most part had a season to forget . They have no hopes of making the postseason this year, lost a franchise player in Troy Tulowitski and have one of the worst pitching rotations in the league. They are an explosive team at the plate but their pitching is borderline terrible as they can't seem to stop opposing teams from scoring which is exactly what the Nationals need to do at the moment.
Jordan Zimmermann will take the mound for the Nats tonight and he should put his team in a great position to get the much needed win as the right-hander is 5-0 in his career versus the Rockies! Colorado will counter with right-hander David Hale, who is making his first start since coming off the disabled list. Zimmermann has been a proven commodity on the mound for this squad; the same can't be said for Hale. It's likely that the Colorado hurler will be quite a bit rusty when he takes the mound which could cause him to struggle in the early going. Hale has a career ERA of 4.04 and has an unflattering 5.52 ERA at home this season, if he does indeed struggle on the mound, the Rockies could find themselves in trouble as their bullpen has been less than reliable.
The Nationals are not only the better overall team but are also incredibly motivatd! An off day yesterday should have given them time to sit back and reflect on their recent performances so they can make the necessary adjustments. This club has a great track record after a day of rest and is 38-15 over the last 3 seasons! This is a team that we expect to bounce back and contend for a spot in the postseason. They should come away with the win behind the strong arm of Zimmermann.
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