August 12, 2015 (Posted at 2:00 PM ET)
Picks will be posted at 11:00 AM ET tomorrow due to early afternoon games.
Take Chicago White Sox as underdogs (+118) on the Money Line against LA Angels risking 3% to win 3.54%.
(Danks and Heaney must start for wager to have action)
The Southsiders were very fortunate to shutout the Angels last night as the LA club went 0 for 8 with runners in scoring positions and had ample opportunities to get on the scoreboard! However, every bat including Mike Trout and future Hall of Famer, Albert Pujols disappointed and showed that they are going through a confidence crisis at the moment. Pujols hit into an inning-ending double play with the bases loaded to kill off any hopes of a comeback and deflated the entire ball club. While we don't expect the man with 550 home runs in his career, or Trout to put on another poor showing, we do believe they have given the White Sox players plenty of confidence over the last two nights and that puts them at a disadvantage tonight. Momentum is a very real factor in a day to day sport like baseball and for a club that had little playoff aspirations coming into this series, the White Sox are suddenly alive in the Wild Card race and can take a BIG step forward by sweeping a potential AL Wild Card rival!
Robin Ventura's side isn't the most talented but they are gritty and determined and have displayed their tenacity many times. That is evident in their excellent 9-3 record in games decided in extra innings! They have also won their fair share of 'close' games by 1 or 2 runs. Aviisail Garcia, Jose Abreu and Melky Cabrera are all capable of swinging a powerful bat and have renewed confidence heading into this contest. That is in polar opposite to the Halos who are 9 for 58 with runners in scoring position in recent games and have taken turns choking at the most clutch moments. That won't continue forever but it could tonight and makes the home side a live and valuable underdog.
John Danks will take the mound for Chicago and has performed much better in the second half of the season. The veteran lefty has had quite a lot of success against this Angels lineup, limiting them to just 6 extra-base hits in 89 previous at-bats! The Halos have an OPS under .600 against him and have struggled to get on base. When they have, they often haven't made it count. He's wildly experienced and is capable of working out of jams as rookie Carlos Rodon did last night. It's also worth noting that Danks has performed much better at Cellular Field going 4-3 with an ERA of 3.7 this season. Most of his non-quality starts have come on the road.
Andrew Heaney will get the ball for Mike Scioscia's side and while he has been impressive thus far this season, we expect there to be some regression for him over the final 1/3rd of the season. He took many teams by surprise in his first 7 MLB starts but now that there is a lot more concrete data on him, clubs are starting to adjust and it'll be tough for him to maintain or improve upon that 5-1 win-loss ratio! The Orioles shook his confidence by slugging 4 runs past him in just 5 innings and the youngster might be a bit more in his head tonight. It wouldn't surprise us to see him out-dueled by Danks and if the bullpen doesn't let them down, Chicago can complete the sweep and give their post-season aspirations a big boost!
Other notable facts to consider:
- The Angels have lost 8 straight road games!
- Danks owns a miniscule 0.5 ERA in his last 3 home starts!
- Erick Aybar (short-stop) has just a .154 batting average against Danks.
- White Sox have won 13 out of 17 games against AL West clubs.
- Danks tied a career high with 10 strike-outs in previous start against Halos.
Please refer to the important SPS Bankroll System instructions received via email upon joining.