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August 6, 2015 (Posted at 2:00 PM ET)

IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT

Sports Profit System is constantly striving to improve the service quality and SPS customer experience. As such, we are excited to announce the following three changes to our members which will come into effect tomorrow, August 7th:

Play Rankings: Based on customer feedback as well as industry standards, after long and careful considerations, we have made the executive decision to increase the standard wager size from 3% to 4%. SPS picks will now be ranked on a scale of 3-5%, with 4% being our average bet size, 3% acting as a lean, and 5% wagers being confident step-out picks! The advantage of implementing this change is that it will increase our overall profit while still maintaining a low risk approach in a very safe betting framework.

Wagering Style: In the past, when taking a favorite, SPS has always risked a percentage of the bankroll to gain less (e.g. risk 3% to win 2.4%) such as in yesterday's picks. Some clients instead risk a certain amount to win 3%. These are two different styles of wagering, and SPS has now decided to switch to the latter given that we win more than we lose and as such, stand to profit more with the second style. This would also help avoid any confusion since the majority of North American bettors tend to wager this way.

Posting Times: We are excited to announce that picks will be posted earlier than the previous 5:00 PM ET preset time. Starting tomorrow, selections will be posted in the afternoon on weekdays allowing customers more time to place their wagers and often giving us better lines and odds than we would have taken later on in the day. Stay tuned for more details. 


Take the UNDER 9 total runs in Boston Red Sox vs. NY Yankees risking 3% of the bankroll.
(Rodriguez and Sabathia must start for wager to have action)

The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees conclude their series tonight from Yankee Stadium. This is one of the more storied rivalries in all of baseball and because of that many people almost always expect a back and forth, high scoring affair and tonight is no different. Many sports bettors have steadily been pounding the "Over" in this contest and that is likely due to the struggles that Yankees pitcher CC Sabathia has exhibited this season. 

The left-hander has endured a trying season with a career-worst 5.54 ERA. Sabathia has not recorded a decision in his three previous starts but has done himself no favors in the last two by allowing 10 runs and 15 hits in 10 2-3 innings. This is what we believe a majority of the betting public is going by. However of the 8 quality starts he has had this season, one came at Fenway Park on May 1 when he yielded just two runs in six innings in New York's 3-2 victory. Many expect that Sabathia will continue his struggles. Of course, Sabathia was going to be rusty in 2015. He was coming off a serious injury and hadn’t pitched in nearly a year and is starting to show his age. He is still capable of producing quality outings however and in a big time rivalry game such as this, we expect him to come with his best.  

The Red Sox haven’t had much success against the New York Yankees this season, but Eduardo Rodriguez was able to come away with a win in his last matchup against the Yankees. He went 6 and 1/3 innings and only gave up two runs. Except for a start against the Angels, Rodriguez has been fantastic on the mound. He’ll try to get his second win against the Yankees this season tonight. Rodriguez had one terrible start against the Angels that has really affected his ERA. When you remove that start Rodriguez has a 2.45 ERA in his last 29 and 1/3 innings. The Red Sox have won five of Rodriguez’s last six starts and that has been due to stellar pitching and no so much because of the Sox offense. The left-hander won his lone start against the Yankees on July 11, allowing solo homers to Jacoby Ellsbury and Alex Rodriguez along with three other hits in 6 1-3 innings of a 5-3 victory. 

The pitching is not the only matchup in this contest. Both offenses have shown their share of struggles as well. Yankees catcher Brian McCann likely will not start for the second straight contest due to inflammation in his left MCL while Alex Rodriguez who went 0 for 4 last night, is hitting .207 in eight home games since the All-Star break. Red Sox offensive slugger David Ortiz is also just 3 for 23 with two solo homers in five games against the Bronx Bombers, he has as many strike outs as he does hit and hasn't hit a long ball in 7 straight games. 

There are a lot of ways that this game can play out. If CC happens to get in trouble early on in the contest, he has the full support of a very respectable and tough Yankees bullpen to back him up. Meanwhile the Red Sox pen should be fresh and ready to go tonight since Uehara was the only other pitcher used due to Wright's quality outing. If both teams are able to stay away from the critical mistakes and not allow unearned runs, this total should stay just under the mark.




Bankroll Tutorial:

Please refer to the important SPS Bankroll System instructions received via email upon joining.