March 7th 2013 - Posted 5:15 PM Eastern Time


#1: Take Oklahoma City Thunder / New York Knicks to go UNDER the posted total of 206 points risking 3 units (8:05 PM)

As I have stated previously, I am not a huge fan of totals in basketball, however when a line stands out to me, it is worth a play in my opinion. Tonight's line of 206 between the Thunder and the Knicks is just a bit too high I feel. Carmelo Anthony, the Knicks leading point scored has a knee injury. He sat out half of Monday's game against the Cavs and did not play last night against the Pistons. Word is that this has been a lingering injury caused by fluid in his knee. Anyone who has had that type of injury knows just how painful and immobilizing it can be. Speculation is that Anthony may suit up for tonight's game but even if he does, he will not be near 100% and will not be able to run around the floor and drop 40 points on the Thunder.

The Knicks did not even hit the 90 point mark last night in Detroit and have to come into this game on a back-to-back to play arguably one of the best teams in the league. Fatigue and the fact that they do not have their best scorer at 100% is severely going to affect the Knicks output. Oklahoma City on the other hand can light up the scoreboard all on their own and they will perhaps crack the 100 point mark like they typically do.They themselves however have not been exactly the strongest road team in the league.

The total has gone Under the posted total in the last 3 meetings between these two teams. Most recently these two teams met back in January of 2012 where the final score was 104-92 in favor of Oklahoma City. I expect a similar score tonight given all of the things going against the Knicks at the moment.

The Thunder will more than likely do their part to boost up the total in this game but I don't think the Knicks will have the legitimate scoring threats to keep pace with them. The Knicks have played Under the posted total in 4 straight games while the Thunder have gone under in 3 of their last 5. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings and I expect it to stay low tonight.


#2: Take Colorado Buffaloes at -3 spread against Oregon Ducks risking 3 Units (9:00 PM)

This is another match-up which matches a team (Oregon) that has secured their seeding and spot in the upcoming tournament while the other ( Colorado ) is on the bubble and vie-ing for their spot. This is an extremely crucial time of the season for some teams who need quality wins over quality competition in order to impress and ensure their spot in either the conference tournament or Big Dance.

Colorado is in that exact spot and a win over the #25 ranked team would likely get them there. Colorado has been an extremely tough home team. The Buffaloes are 11-2 at home this season. It's not only their record that is impressive but the fact that they are outscoring opponents by an average of 13 points per game at home! The caliber of opponents that Colorado has defeated on their home floor is impressive as well. Home wins over the likes of Colorado State (70-61), Stanford (75-54), Cal (81-71) and Arizona (71-58) show exactly how good this team can play in front of their home crowd.

On the other hand, Oregon hasn't exactly been a stellar road team and is actually getting outscored on the road this season. They have some pretty bad losses on the road this season to the likes of Cal (54-58), Stanford (52-76) and UTEP (84-91). Colorado already holds a victory over the Ducks this season when they went on the road and won a 48-47 "brick-fest" in Oregon a couple months back. The Buffs have also won 3 of their last 4 meetings with the Ducks. Colorado is the team that needs this win more. Oregon may have a bit of revenge on their minds but the likely fact is that their main goal is to simply limit their injuries and rest up for the tournament. Colorado will likely pull this game out in the end. Huge game for Colorado tonight, lay the points.


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