June 20th 2013 - Posted 6:00 PM Eastern Time

Tonight is all about NBA as we look to close out a solid season that had its fair share of highs and lows but is ultimately a good successful one.

Starting tomorrow, the focus will be solely on MLB Baseball where we are enjoying a great month and even our few losses have mostly come in form of 1-run extra innings losses and the good news is that historically, we've always fared better as the season has gone on and in particular done excellently after the All-Star break!

Take Miami Heat at -5.5 spread against San Antonio Spurs risking 2%

The NBA season comes to an end officially tonight. We have the two best teams in the league squaring off one last time for the Championship in what should be a hotly contested battle. The San Antonio Spurs had all but won the Championship in Game 6 as they lead the Heat by 5 with 28 seconds to go but could not close the door and ultimately lost the game in overtime. To be in that position and less than 30 seconds away from winning the championship only to watch it slip out of your fingers is as hard a blow to take as it gets even for a veteran team like Spurs. You could even hear it in the post game interviews and in particular from Manu Ginobili who came out and said: "The team is devastated about that loss and that he didn't have any clue how the Spurs would be able to bounce back from a game like that"

While I understand that the Spurs are a veteran team, to have one of their most senior players come out and make that statement publicly was a mistake. Doubt has already been placed in these players' heads and I believe it will affect their performance tonight. Guys like Parker, Duncan and Ginobili have been here before and know what it takes to rebound from a loss like that, guys like Leonard and Green who have been pivotal players throughout this series do not. To have one of their leaders question their resiliency was a move I'm sure Gregg Popovich did not like and Ginobili's statement could play a part in tonight's game.

For the Heat, they fought tooth and nail to force Game 7 and having done so, they aren't gonna give up now in Game 7 at home. Back from almost certain defeat, the Heat made some key shots late in the game to force overtime and eventually held off Spurs for the win. There was a lot of pressure on Miami in Game 6... maybe too much because they absolutely needed that win. I believe that pressure aided in them playing just a little bit too "tight" at the beginning which is why they struggled through parts of the game. Tonight the pressure is on both sides since it's Game 7 and both face elimination. I believe tonight they will play a lot looser than they had in Game 6 and that'll help with their decision making and execution. LeBron himself never got fully going until the 4th quarter the other night and at times seemed 'too emotional' trying to force things. Having ultimately helped his team grab the win Game #6 to force Game 7, expect him to have his usual intensity and yet remain more composed which should him have a better overall performance and dominate as we all know he can. Miami's confidence is high right now and let's be honest, they are essentially playing with "house money" at this point since there arguably shouldn't even be a Game 7! This is the game where you will see the Heat players band together to close the Spurs out. From the Big 3 to veterans like Mike Miller, Shane Battier and Ray Allen, expect everyone to do their part to help Miami achieve consecutive championships.

Having the decisive Game 7 at home is what Miami players worked hard for all season and a huge advantage. Spurs will look to become the first team in 35 years to win a Game 7 on the road! Historically, home teams are 14-3 in Game 7 of the NBA Finals. I believe San Antonio had their chance in Game #6 and should have been the champions. Having not closed out the game however, they've given Miami all the momentum and confidence they need to come and make them regret it for the rest of their lives. Miami won last game by 3 points even though they trailed a majority of the game and didn't play particularly well until the 4th quarter. The Heat turned on the defense at the end and still nearly got the cover. I expect them to play much better tonight because of the scare in Game 6 and I expect Spurs to still be a little bit deflated because of that loss.

Miami is playing in the finals for the 3rd straight year and having lost at home to Dallas Mavericks in 2011, they aren't gonna make that mistake twice! These guys are focused on their legacies and they know they will have 'failed' if they reach 3 finals but only end up winning one. This game plays right into Miami's hands and I believe they get it done tonight on home court and repeat as champions. Lay the points with the Heat.


Please note that once your membership expires you will be unable to log in to the Members Area! You can renew or upgrade your membership before it runs out to ensure you don't miss out on any picks. Your new subscription will of course only start once your current one expires.

Click Here To Renew Or Upgrade Your Membership

Bankroll Tutorial:

Please refer to the all-important SPS Bankroll System instructions received upon joining.

Copyright 2012 Sports Money Profit System

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.
Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.