Tonight is all about NBA as we
look to close out a solid season that had its fair share of highs and
lows but is ultimately a good successful one.
Starting tomorrow, the focus will be solely on MLB Baseball where we
are enjoying a great month and even our few losses have mostly come
in form of 1-run extra innings losses and the good news is that historically,
we've always fared better as the season has gone on and in particular
done excellently after the All-Star break!
Take Miami Heat at -5.5 spread against San Antonio Spurs risking 2%
The NBA season comes to an end officially tonight. We have the two
best teams in the league squaring off one last time for the Championship
in what should be a hotly contested battle. The San Antonio Spurs had
all but won the Championship in Game 6 as they lead the Heat by 5 with
28 seconds to go but could not close the door and ultimately lost the
game in overtime. To be in that position and less than 30 seconds away from winning
the championship only to watch it slip out of your fingers is as hard
a blow to take as it gets even for a veteran team like Spurs. You could even
hear it in the post game interviews and in particular from Manu Ginobili
who came out and said: "The team is devastated about that loss and that he didn't have
any clue how the Spurs would be able to bounce back from a game like
While I understand that the Spurs are a veteran
team, to have one of their most senior players come out and make that
statement publicly was a mistake. Doubt has already been placed in these
players' heads and I believe it will affect their performance tonight.
Guys like Parker, Duncan and Ginobili have been here before and know
what it takes to rebound from a loss like that, guys like Leonard and
Green who have been pivotal players throughout this series do not. To
have one of their leaders question their resiliency was a move I'm sure
Gregg Popovich did not like and Ginobili's statement could play a part
in tonight's game.
For the Heat, they fought tooth and nail to force
Game 7 and having done so, they aren't gonna give up now in Game 7 at
home. Back from almost certain defeat, the Heat made
some key shots late in the game to force overtime and eventually held
off Spurs for the win. There was a lot of pressure on Miami in Game
6... maybe too much because they absolutely needed that win. I believe
that pressure aided in them playing just a little bit too "tight"
at the beginning which is why they struggled through parts of the game.
Tonight the pressure is on both sides since it's Game 7 and both face
elimination. I believe tonight they will play a lot looser
than they had in Game 6 and that'll help with their decision making
and execution. LeBron himself never got fully going until the
4th quarter the other night and at times seemed 'too emotional' trying
to force things. Having ultimately helped his team grab the win Game
#6 to force Game 7, expect him to have his usual intensity and yet remain
more composed which should him have a better overall performance and
dominate as we all know he can. Miami's confidence is high right now
and let's be honest, they are essentially playing with "house money"
at this point since there arguably shouldn't even be a Game 7! This
is the game where you will see the Heat players band together to close
the Spurs out. From the Big 3 to veterans like Mike Miller, Shane Battier
and Ray Allen, expect everyone to do their part to help Miami achieve
Having the decisive Game 7 at home is what Miami
players worked hard for all season and a huge advantage. Spurs will look to become the first team in 35 years to win a Game
7 on the road! Historically, home teams are 14-3 in Game 7 of the NBA
Finals. I believe San Antonio had their chance in Game #6 and should have been the
champions. Having not closed out the game however, they've given Miami
all the momentum and confidence they need to come and make them regret
it for the rest of their lives. Miami won last game by 3 points even
though they trailed a majority of the game and didn't play particularly
well until the 4th quarter. The Heat turned on the defense at the end
and still nearly got the cover. I expect them to play much better tonight
because of the scare in Game 6 and I expect Spurs to still be a little
bit deflated because of that loss.
Miami is playing in the finals for the 3rd straight
year and having lost at home to Dallas Mavericks in 2011, they aren't
gonna make that mistake twice! These guys are focused on their legacies and they
know they will have 'failed' if they reach 3 finals but only end up
winning one. This game plays right into Miami's hands and I believe
they get it done tonight on home court and repeat as champions. Lay
the points with the Heat.
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