Tuesday, January 29th 2013 Picks - Posted 5:05 PM Eastern Time
Last night started with Pittsburgh covering the spread for us in College Basketball to make it a remarkable 9 winning bets in a row! But we then finally cooled down a bit in the NBA and dropped both games.
Sometimes the difference between a winning and losing night can be as little as 1.2 seconds! Philadelphia led with 13 seconds left but a Rudy Gay basket put the Grizzlies up by one. Then with only 1.2 seconds left of the game, our bet was still good as The 76ers were only losing by 1 but a foul and two free-throws made meant Memphis goes on to win the game by 3.
There are not many games scheduled tonight and value is a little harder to come by therefore. Originally there was 1 NBA and 1 CBB play planned for tonight but after more careful consideration, the College Basketball play has been discarded.
Take New Orleans Hornets at +7.5 spread against LA Lakers risking 2 units.
Believe it or not, the Lakers may have finally figured out how to win. They have bounced back from four straight losses with consecutive wins over the Utah Jazz and Oklahoma City Thunder and it appears that it is all due to Kobe Bryant simply sharing the basketball...who would have thought? Kobe is making an extra effort to get his teammates involved over the last two games by distributing the ball more instead of taking the shot himself.
In their easy win against the Jazz, Bryant dished out a season-high 14 assists and took just 10 shots in the whole game and carried over that mentality to there next games as Kobe had another 14 assists with his 21 points against the Thunder. With Kobe sharing the ball more often, just about every player has increased their scoring output. Metta World Peace and Steve Nash are now averaging 16 points in their last two games while Pau Gasol is averaging 15. Los Angeles are now 19-25 on the season and 14-10 at home. They have currently won 4 of their last 5 at the Staples Center.
On the other hand, the Hornets had lost three of four before their big 91-83 road win over the Grizzlies on Sunday. The Hornets were 7.5 point underdogs in that game as well. Greivis Vasquez shot just 2 of 16 from the field while Eric Gordon added just 8 points, but luckily for the Hornets they had Ryan Anderson who lit up the scoreboards with 22 points including seven 3-pointers in just 28 minutes of play! Their defense wasn't too bad either holding the Grizzlies to just 36 percent shooting and more importantly just 15 points in the fourth quarter which secured them the win. New Orleans is now 15-29 on the season and 8-14 on the road where they've won four of their last six outright.
As far as ATS trends go, the Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven following a win, while the Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games but just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games following a win.
Head to head, the Lakers have won 15 of the last 19 meetings at home against the Hornets but are just 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
As good as the Lakers have been playing as of late, I'm still not convinced that they have completely turned things around. The Hornets have played good basketball on the road and they have a big man in Anthony Davis that should give Howard fits. New Orleans will also be looking for revenge from their first meeting back in December where the Lakers completely dominated that game. Rarely do teams get blown out twice. I'll look for the Hornets to come out aggressive and keep this game close. The Lakers are finally winning ball games but asking them to cover a 7 point spread is a completely different story. Take the points.
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