Sunday, Jan 13th 2013

#1: Take Milwaukee Bucks at +2 spread against Toronto Raptors risking 2 Units. (1:05 pm)

Some places currently have this line at +2.5 even.

#2: Take Brooklyn Nets at -4 spread against Indiana Pacers risking 2 Units. (6:05 pm)

This is going to be a fairly interesting match-up. Since the Nets fired their coach they have seemingly "turned the corner". They are a team that is playing with a completely different purpose and have finally seemed to found the cohesiveness that they had been lacking. The Indiana Pacers on the other hand had struggled to start the season well but over the last couple of weeks have been playing like the playoff team that they were last season. Indiana has been on an impressive run the last couple of weeks and made us money when we took them against Miami Heat earlier this week. Their defense has probably been its best asset. What concerns me about todays game is that the Pacers had learned to function without leading scorer Danny Granger, but today they will be without their new "face of the franchise" in Paul George. George has really come into his own as of late and has been a catalyst on the offensive side of the ball for the Pacers. For a team that only scores roughly 90 points a game as it is, the loss of George is going to be huge for this team. I am well aware of the whole "back a team ATS when missing its star player" and we have used that to our advantage many times in the past, but that will not apply in this situation as George now makes it Indiana's 2 best players that are out.

With Brooklyn playing as well as they have been recently and Indiana not having their "go-to" scoring options, I think the Pacers are going to struggle to put points up in this one. Brooklyn has been tough at home and I think they'll play well against the underhanded Pacers today and win by 6-8 points.


#1: Take New England Patriots at -9.5 spread against Houston Texans risking 1 unit. (4:30 pm)

This is just a 1-unit lean (minimum bet) for us. We are risking 5% of our bankroll in total today; 2% on each of the two NBA picks and 1% on our NFL lean.


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