Wednesday February 27th 2013 - Posted 5:40 PM Eastern Time
#1: Take Baylor Bears at PK against West virginia Mountaineers risking 3 Units (8:00 PM)
The transition to the Big 12 has not been kind to West Virginia as the Mountaineers have really struggled to find an kind of ryhthm in their first season in the conference. The Mountaineers are currently sitting in 7th place in the conference but do not have any quality wins in Big 12 play. All of the wins that WVU has accumulated during conference play have come against the worst of the worst in the conference: TCU, Texas Tech, and Texas.
These two teams first met back on February 13th with the Baylor Bears getting a 80-60 home victory! Baylor has been absolutely terrible on the road against quality competition this season however WVU has yet to beat a team above them in the standings. I'm not so sure WVU classifies as "quality competition" in this one and while I'm sure the Bears will continue to struggle on the road, their playmakers will step up down the stretch and win this game. Baylor still completely dominates West Virginia statistically in all major categories. While I don't expect it to be a blowout, take Baylor for the win.
This line opened at -1 and has since gone all the way up to 0 and even +1 in a few places. Whichever line you get, it hopefully shouldn't matter.
#2: Take Atlanta Hawks at +4.5 spread against Utah Jazz risking 3 Units (9:05 PM)
Thanks mostly to the recent play of Josh Smith and Al Horford, the Hawks have won five of their last six games (3 straight) after they completely dominated the Pistons 114-103 on Monday. Smith had 23 points but was matched by Horford who also scored 23 and grabbed 22 rebounds! Jeff Teague added 20 points and 12 assists at the point position. Smith and Horford are simply playing on a completely different level and each guy has appeared to have elevated their game tremendously. Atlanta has now won their last four road games to improve to 14-13 on the road and 32-23 on the season.
Meanwhile, the Jazz are coming off their second straight loss after falling to the Celtics by 110-107 in overtime on Monday. Utah has now lost four of their last seven games overall. The Jazz have typically been known as a strong home team, given thei 27-7 record at home, however they have recently shown some vulnerability at home. They failed to get a win on Monday against a tired Celtics team who was playing their 5th game in 7 nights and who were also a pretty poor performing team on the road. The Jazz really should have handled that game quite easily and they didn't and I am not sure that they can against an Atlanta team who is surging right now. The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games and 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall, while the Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a loss and the Hawks are also 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings with the Jazz.
These two teams are about as even as it gets, in terms of points scored and rebounds per game. Atlanta will hold a slight edge on the defensive side of the ball and Utah will hold the edge in terms of having the home court advantage. This is a game that really could go either way and I believe could potentially come down to the very last shot. With these two teams being so even and Atlanta playing so well at the moment, I have to take the points.
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