April 2nd 2013 - Posted 5:35 PM Eastern Time

Take Washington Wizards at -2 spread against Chicago Bulls risking 3 Units. (7:05 PM)

Chicago has a key matchup on Thursday with the Brooklyn Nets whom they trail by 1 and a half game in the East which could potentially lead them to look past Washington in this game. That would be a mistake since the Wizards are currently riding their longest home winning streak in 6 years!

The Bulls, for the most part, have been a grind it out, type of team this season. They don't typically blow any teams out and mostly rely on rebounding and tight defense. When the Bulls are "on" they are an incredibly hard team to beat, especially in Chicago as the Miami Heat found out last week. Tonight's game however is being played in Washington, which does not bode well for the Bulls who have dropped 6 of their last 8 games on the road. It's also worth noting that Washington already holds a victory over the Bulls at the Verizon Center this season.

Chicago has simply looked sloppy their last couple games after ending the Heat's 27 game winning streak. The Bulls managed to blow a 12 point lead late in the game in Dallas on Saturday which resulted in a final second loss but came back the following night by rallying from a 13 point deficit to slip past the struggling Detroit Pistons 95-94 at home.

Even though Chicago won their game against Detroit, it's still worth noting that they were down double digits to one of the bottom tiered teams in the league on their home floor! This season the Bulls have had to make some major changes and adaptations despite all of the injuries that they have sustained this season. For tonight's game, it looks like Joakim Noah will be sitting out and Noah has been a big reason for Chicago's success this season. Noah nearly had a triple-double with 9 points, 10 assists and 17 rebounds in an 86-73 loss in Washington on Jan. 26, in a game where Washington was slated as a 1.5 point home underdog. If you recall, Washington was one of our selected plays that night and we had called for Washington to beat the Bulls outright in that game. Tonight we are making a similar claim.

As I had previously mentioned, this Wizards team is looking to extend its longest home winning streak since a 10 game stretch during the 2006-07 season. Washington claimed its 7th straight home victory with a 109-92 victory over Toronto on Sunday and has won their recent home games by an average of 13.5 points! While the Wizards have been all but eliminated from the playoff picture, they are within three games of Philadelphia for ninth in the East in part due to their surge at home. Recent interviews with some of the Washington players have shown that the Wizards are not giving up their season just yet. Even though it would be tough for the Wizards to make the playoffs this season, they are still playing for a sense of pride and momentum moving into next season.

After such a horrible start to the year, the Wizards at home are playing like a playoff caliber team. This team has really come together and has a tremendous amount of talent and athleticism. John Wall has finally emerged as the superstar of this team. Wall, who had 18 points, 10 assists and just 1 turnover on Sunday, has played a key role in the team's recent success at home. He's averaged 27.8 points on 63.5 percent shooting and 9.5 assists in the last four games in Washington. Wall hasn't done this all on his own however, he has a good supporting cast of players around him that include Nene and Bradley Beal. Beal, who who missed five games with an ankle injury finished with 24 points off the bench and hit 6 of 9 from 3-point range against the Raptors! Beal is due to return to starting action tonight and immediately adds another element to this Wizards offense. His outside shooting could become a game changer tonight as Chicago likes to keep their "bigs" inside to protect the rim.

Washington is simply a different team at home. They have shot 50.0 percent from the field over its last 6 games at home, averaging 108.2 points and hitting 52.4 percent from beyond the arc. They have beaten the best of the best teams at home this season including the Heat, Knicks, Oklahoma City as well as Chicago Bulls. Washington is playing with a sense of pride right now and want to extend their home winning streak. The Bulls are going to want to slow the pace of the game down but I believe Washington is simply too young and too athletic for the Bulls to contain at home. Washington get the win and cover here tonight.

Some recent trends to consider:

- Wizards are 43-29 ATS in all games this season.

- Wizards are 24-13 ATS in home games this season.

- Wizards are 23-11 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

- Wizards are 11-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


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