September 8th 2014 - Posted at 5:00 PM ET
Football proved extremely lucrative last year and those who were with us from the opening week all the way to the Super Bowl profited greatly and saw Sports Profit System outdo all competitors! We are confident of repeating that and welcome back loyal long-term clients who have rejoined us.
On another note, it is always worth remembering that profiting from sports is a daily grind and no easy task. It is a marathon and not a race and there will be both ups and downs along the way. Those who are patient and disciplined will reap the rewards. Because much like even championship winning teams, SPS will inevitably suffer some losses but we win more often than not and will once again be at the very top by February! As such, the real value lies in long term success and results should only be evaluated at the end of the season.
Finally, although it does not affect SPS, we highly recommend that clients place their bets with a book that offers 'Reduced Juice'. Wagering at -105 vig/juice instead of -110 makes a huge difference over the course of a long season! It is the primary distinction between clients who profit big and those that profit small since the picks are the same for everyone.
Note: Experienced sports-bettors know the importance of shopping lines. We suggest that you shop for the best lines whenever possible since that half a point or so will at times decide the outcome and turn a win into a push or vice versa.
Take Arizona Cardinals at -2.5 spread against San Diego Chargers risking 2%
Monday Night Football kicks off with a double-header this season when the San Diego Chargers travel to the desert to take on the Arizona Cardinals in the second game of the night.
There are a lot of people who are expecting big things from San Diego this season but we are not completely sold on this team. The Chargers have a new offensive coordinator this year as Ken Whisenhunt took the head coaching job at Tennessee. As such, while the offense is projected to continue what it did last year, we expect a bit of a learning curve in the early part of the season. Phillip Rivers had a great season last year but he has shown his weaknesses in the past especially when playing away from home and can easily get frustrated. For all his experience, his temperament is questionable. The Arizona defense regularly sacked opposing QBs last season and we expect them to get to Rivers tonight and when they do, he may well lose his composure despite being an experienced veteran.
The Cardinals are an underrated team, especially at home and we took advantage of that numerous times last year. They managed to go 6-2 in the desert and recorded double digit wins last season but few saw that coming as they are a team that generally flies under the radar. They were a playoff caliber team, but because they play in the extremely tough NFC West with teams like the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks, they missed out on the playoffs. They are a good team and one that no one should overlook. What we feel is most underrated however, is their defense. Statistically speaking, the Cardinals boasted one of the best defenses at home, holding teams to an average of under 19 points per game! A big part of their successful defense and special teams is due to the dynamic play of Patrick Peterson, who was just offered a very lucrative contract extension by the Cardinals and is one of the very best CB's in the entire league!
The Cardinals have an underrated QB in Carson Palmer who is now in his second year with this team and knows the system very well. Palmer, who came highly touted out of college, failed to live up to expectations when he was a member of the Bengals. He also didn't do very much with the Oakland Raiders franchise, but has seemingly found his home as the leader of Bruce Arians' offense. Palmer is coming off the best year of his career last season passing for well over 4,000 yards! He has a lot of talent around him, especially with dynamic Pro Bowler and future Hall of Famer Larry Fitzgerald! We expect Palmer to improve his TD/INT ratio this season and also don't see Phillip Rivers having another terrific season like he did last year.
Fitzgerald is a game changer and a receiver who the Chargers will definitely need to be wary of. San Diego was torched on the defensive end last season and given their lack of experience and dealing with a couple of injuries, we feel that they will struggle again this season, at least in the early going which will open up the passing lanes for both Palmer and his capable receivers. The Bolts defense was poor against the pass last year and we don't believe they have truly fixed that issue.
Home field advantage cannot be understated in the first game of the season. To have the crowd and the fan base behind you encourages the team to power through some of those early miscues, while the loud noise acts as a distraction for the visiting team and forces them into mistakes. This spread is now less than a field goal and we believe the home team is worth the cheap price tag. With the public perception of San Diego high this season and Arizona once again flying under the radar, this is a great opportunity for them to make a statement. They play in arguably the toughest division in the entire league which prepares them well but have a very tough schedule this year! This is one of their more winnable games and they know they must start with a victory. It's also worth noting that the Chargers will go back to San Diego to host Super Bowl champs, Seattle on Sunday! Facing the reigning champions is extremely exciting and some of the players may be partially looking ahead to that matchup. If they get a big lead in this game at some point, they may start thinking about that game and that is a mistake against this capable Arizona team.
Other notable facts to consider:
- Cardinals were 5-1-1 ATS as favorites last year!
- Arizona defense ranked #1 in NFL in rushing yards last season!
- Bruce Arians is a perfect 7-0 ATS as coach of Arizona in home games when the Total is between 42.5 and 49 points!
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