June 19th 2014 - Posted at 11:00 AM ET
There are two picks today.
The World Cup pick is NOT a regular Money Line pick. For those unfamiliar with this popular betting option, read carefully.
#1: Take Uruguay at PK spread / Draw No Bet (+171) against England risking 2%
Certain sportsbooks such as Bet365 and sportsbook.ag call this wager 'Draw No Bet' while others such as 5dimes call it taking a team at PK spread.
What this means is that we're betting on the underdogs Uruguay to win this game. However, if the game finishes in a draw/tie, the bet is not lost; the wager is cancelled instead such as in a 'PUSH' situation. The wager is graded as a loss only if the favorites England win this game.
Given that there are 3 possible outcomes as opposed to just 2 in American sports, 'Draw No Bet' wagers are a common and useful option at times.
#2: Take Miami Marlins on the Money Line (-117) against NY Mets risking 2%
(Heaney and Wheeler must start)
The New York Mets and the Miami Marlins begin a four game series at Marlins Park tonight. The Mets managed to avoid being swept by the St. Louis Cardinals in their last game and came out with a 3-2 victory. Despite that win over a quality opponent, they have been struggling. They have lost 11 of their 17 games in the month of June and a lack of offense has been the main culprit. The Mets' offense has cooled down to one of the worst in the league having produced 3 runs or less in 7 of their last 8 games!
Zack Wheeler will get the start for the Mets tonight. Wheeler has had a poor season thus far. He is 2-7 with a 4.15 ERA in 14 starts! He has given up 4 earned runs in back-to-back starts. A lack of control has really hurt him and his pitch count has progressively increased due to issuing multiple walks in 3 consecutive starts. He's allowed a "free pass" on base 34 times in 78 innings overall this season! Wheeler has pitched well against the Marlins, having already started twice against them this season. However, that also means that the Miami bats are now better accustomed to him and his delivery. It will be hard for Wheeler to produce his third quality start against this team, especially considering his recent performances.
The Marlins will counter with rookie Andrew Heaney this evening. He finds himself in the rotation due to a season ending injury to "Ace" Jose Fernandez. Heaney was the ninth overall pick of the 2012 draft and has been nothing short of spectacular in the minors. He has posted a combined record of 17-7 with a 2.31 ERA and has had 198 strikeouts in 199 innings. There is a lot of upside to this kid and we have seen a number of rookie pitchers excel in their first start this season. Given the struggling offense of the Mets, this is a great opportunity for Heaney to introduce himself to everyone.
The Marlins have already had success against the Mets this season, winning 4 of the last 6 meetings and even managing to sweep the series the last time these teams met. Giancarlo Stanton has homered three times in his last six games and even though he left yesterday's game early, he will likely be in the lineup tonight. Miami has been one of the better home teams this season with a 24-15 record on the year. Heaney is somewhat of an X factor on the mound but we have more faith in the Marlins' offense, which have at least been scoring runs, than we do with the Mets and their arguably "shaky" pitcher at the moment. This is a cheap price to lay with the home team. Take the Marlins.
Other notable facts to consider:
- Mets have lost 8 of their last 9 road games!
- Mets are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Miami!
- Marlins are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. National League East teams.
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