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June 15th 2014 - Posted at 11:00 AM ET

There are two picks risking a total of 4% today.

We are skipping NBA tonight.

#1: Take Switzerland on the Money Line (+138) against Ecuador risking 2% 

#2: Take Washington Nationals on the Money Line (+105) against St. Louis Cardinals risking 2%
(Fister and Garcia must start)

The Washington Nationals will look to avoid being swept this afternoon as they conclude their 3 game series with the St. Louis Cardinals. 
Doug Fister will take the mound for the Nats and so far this season, he has been their most reliable and consistent pitcher. Fister is 5-1 with a 2.68 ERA through 7 starts and has picked up the win in his last 5 trips to the mound. He owns a 1.83 ERA in his last 6 starts since his debut back on May 9th. He's only allowed 3 home runs in his last 39.3 innings of work!

The Nationals have won 6 straight contests when Fister has taken the hill. He will be making his first career start against the Cardinals this afternoon. This should give him an added advantage as only one member of the Cardinal roster (Peter Bourjos) has previously faced him. It'll take them a few innings for Mike Matheny's team to get used to Fister's pitching style and that may be enough to give the Nats the edge.

The Cardinals will send Jaime Garcia to the mound. While Garcia owns a 2-0 record on the season, his ERA is an unimpressive 4.26. At home where the pressure is even higher in front of an expectant crowd, his numbers are even worse as his ERA elevates up to 6.16! The Cardinals are 0-3 when Garcia has started at home this season. 

Washington will be determined and motivated to avoid being swept this afternoon and even though their offense has been inconsistent, they have had success against left handed pitchers this season. St Louis has managed to sweep only 1 team this season and that was the lowly Arizona Diamondbacks back in May. 

Matt Adams has been the true standout player for the Cardinals in this series. The first two games between these teams have been extremely close with Adams' home runs making the difference. If Fister can navigate around him and avoid making the same mistakes as his predecessors, he should be able to out-duel Jaime Garcia and lead his team to another victory. 

We expect the Nats offense to find some success against Garcia, who has shown a tendency to implode in a given inning. Garcia is hittable whereas Fister has been very consistent. Look for Washington to avoid the sweep as we don't believe they should be underdogs today.

Other notable facts to consider:

  • Washington is 6-0 in Fister's last 6 starts! 
  • Washington is 4-0 in Fister's last 4 starts with 4 days of rest. 
  • St Louis is 3-7 in Garcia's last 10 starts as a favorite.

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