June 13th 2014 - Posted at 11:00 AM Eastern Time
There are two picks risking a total of 4% from our bankroll today (one MLB and one World Cup).
#1: Take the OVER 2 Goals Total (-108) in Cameroon vs. Mexico risking 2%
Many books such as 5dimes and Pinnacle have the total set at 2 goals for this game at (-108 odds) while others such as bet365 have it at 2.5 goals currently but with much better odds (+165). While those odds are attractive, it is important to place this wager at the total of 2 goals and not 2.5 so there is the possibility of pushing if there are only a couple of goals scored.
#2: Take LA Angels on the Money Line (-115) against Atlanta Braves risking 2%
(Wilson and Harang must start)
The Angels and Braves kick off their 3 game inter-league series from Turner Field tonight. CJ Wilson will take the mound for the Angels. Wilson has quietly put together another solid season for LA thus far with a 7-5 record and a 3.32 ERA. In his last start, he went just over 7 innings against the White Sox giving up 3 hits and 1 earned run. Tonight he faces a Braves team with a wildly inconsistent offense this season.
Wilson should have somewhat of an advantage on the mound because he is a southpaw. It's widely known in the world of baseball that left handed hitters typically struggle when facing left handed pitchers. This should cause some of the power hitters in the Braves lineup to find it tough tonight. Catcher Evan Gattis who has been showing his power this season has also struggled against left handed pitchers this season.
CJ Wilson will also have another advantage on the mound since the Braves have never faced him before. Wilson is an established pitcher, so to have the added advantage of "surprise" as well should only benefit him. It will take the Braves some time to adjust to the intricacies of Wilson's delivery and that may confuse some of the hitters in the first few innings. If that does in fact happen, it could open up the door for LA to take the lead.
Aaron Harang will get the start for the Braves tonight. Harang started the season in spectacular fashion but has struggled since then. In his last 8 starts, he has consistently given up runs, putting his team in unenviable positions. In his first 5 starts, Harang gave up just 3 earned runs. Over his next 8 however, he has given up an average of 3.6 per game, which includes giving up 9 earned runs against division rivals Miami Marlins! Today, he will face one of the most potent lineups in the entire league in the LA Angels, a team which he has not fared well against in his career.
In 7 career starts against the Angels, Harang has a dismal 0-5 record! When he has taken the mound, his team is just 1-6 against the Anaheim club. Harang has given up quite a few runs in those starts. His ERA ballons to 7.59 with a WHIP of 2.093 in such meetings! Harang has failed to last 6 innings against the Angels in his last 3 starts. This year's Angels team is more dangerous than in years past. They have skill players at nearly all positions and also the "big bats" to go along with it. Players like Josh Hamilton, Albert Pujols and Mike Trout have all shown their ability to hit the ball out of the park. Because of all that power, the Angels are never truly out of a ball game and we have seen them score bunches late multiple times this season.
The Atlanta Braves have survived most of this season due to their stellar pitching, both in the starting rotation and in the bullpen. Their offense has to be one of the worst in the entire league, ranking near the bottom in runs scored. While the Braves have the ability to hit the long ball, we have seen that when the home runs don't come, their offense typically stalls. Given Harang's past struggles against the Angels, if Atlanta happens to find themselves down in the game, they may have a tough time battling back simply due to how their offense is built.
Atlanta has also struggled against AL teams this season. They are 0-6 this season against the American League, while the Angels have dominated the National League going 6-2 in 8 games so far this season! The Angels also have the added benefit of coming off a rest day while this will be the Braves first game back from a week long Mid-West road trip. It's not too often that you see the odds-makers put the Braves in the home underdog role since they have been historically tough at Turner Field. The Braves however have struggled at home as of late and we feel that this line is warrante. The Angels simply have more options to win this game and we believe they will do that.
Other notable facts to consider:
- Angels are 6-1 on the road with a line of +100 to -125!
- Atlanta is 1-5 in its last 6 home games.
- Angels are 6-2 this season coming off a day of rest.
- Angels are 10-2 in their last 12 interleague games dating back to last season!
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