Members Only

July 9th 2014 - Posted at 3:00 PM ET

Take Baltimore Orioles (-117) on the Money Line against Washington Nationals risking 2%
(Norris and Fister must start)

The Baltimore Orioles and Washington Nationals gear up for Game two of their 4-game (home and home) series. These two teams were scheduled to meet last night for Game 2 out in Washington but the game was postponed due to inclement weather. This actually works to the benefit of the Orioles as the series switches from Nationals Park to Camden Yards. There has also been another change to this game that we feel puts Baltimore at an advantage. Late pitching changes by both teams show that Doug Fister and Bud Norris will get start instead of Tanner Roark and Wei-Yin Chen. This new pitching matchup should favor the home side.

Bud Norris has been absolutely sensational at home this season! He has a personal 4-1 record at Camden Yards this season and the Orioles have won 5 of those 6 games! Norris has had the unfortunate luck in scheduling to have had to make a majority of his starts on the road this season, so it’s easy to forget how good he can be in a ball park where he is comfortable. Prior to his injury, Norris had won his four consecutive starts and had given up a total of just 2 runs in his last 20 innings of work! He's also had success against the Nationals in his career as he is 2-0 with a 3.66 ERA through 3 starts. 

Doug Fister will take the mound for the Nationals and he has been fairly consistent this season. The issue that we have with Fister is the same that we have with the entire Nationals team and that is their inconsistent play on the road. Through 6 starts this season, Fister has a 2-2 record away from Nationals Park and Washington is just 3-3 when he starts on the road. The Nationals themselves have a losing 20-21 record away from home this season, so just like Fister’s record; they are a 50-50 team at best on the highway. Fister hasn’t exactly been solid against the O’s in the past either accumulating an unimpressive 5.30 ERA in his career!

Baltimore is playing inspired baseball at the moment. Their offense is firing on all cylinders and the day off yesterday may have actually helped them not get complacent after a late rally in Monday’s extra innings win. The Orioles exploded for 6 runs in the 12th inning showing that they are an incredibly dangerous team once the action gets to the bullpens. Nationals “Ace” Stephen Strasburg was able to somewhat contain the potent Orioles lineup, only giving up 2 runs but it goes to show that even an elite pitcher can only do so much to contain a red hot offense. Baltimore are basically scoring at will having scored 4 or more runs in 11 of their last 13 games! They currently rank in 7th in the league in runs scored, 3rd in team batting average, 11th in on-base percentage and 3rd in slugging percentage this season. 

The Nationals may lead the NL East division but the Orioles are the ones full of momentum and confidence at the moment. They were rested yesterday and should be back at their best today. This is a good price to lay with Bud Norris and Baltimore's potent bats.

Other notable facts to consider:

  • Washington is 1-5 in its last 6 games against Baltimore.
  • Baltimore is 34-17 when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons!
  • Baltimore is 37-27 vs right handed pitchers this season.

Bankroll Tutorial:

Please refer to the important SPS Bankroll System instructions received via email upon joining.