January 27th 2014 - Posted 5:00 PM Eastern Time
After 3 weeks in which bankrolls were expanded by 6 units, 2 units and again 6 units minus juice, last week was terrible and saw us give back 10 units.
It is worth remembering however that the last time SPS had such a bad week was 8 months ago from Monday April 29th to Sunday May 5th! Weeks this poor are hardly common and happen only a couple of times a year. But it isn't weekly numbers that ultimately matter and should be evaluated anyway.
Yesterday's bet on Miami Heat was a great one but no more solid than many of our recent picks. The difference is Erik Spoelstra and his team saw the job through while many others have thrown it all away in the final few minutes.
There were several teams we leaned towards tonight but ultimately one is by far the most solid in our opinion and hence the only team we're wagering on.
Take Brooklyn Nets at -3.5 spread against Toronto Raptors risking 2%
No NBA team has performed better in 2014 than the surging Brooklyn Nets! Jason Kidd's team has won 10 of its 11 games in the new calendar year with their only blemish coming against the Raptors in Toronto. In a January that couldn't have gone much better for them, they have suffered only one loss but that defeat was a blowout against the team they are chasing in the Atlantic Division! DeMar DeRozan was a handful that day but won't be featuring tonight.
The Raptors are currently first in the Atlantic
division despite being only one game above .500 and the Nets' are now
just one game and a half behind them! As if getting revenge for their
only loss of the year against direct division rivals was not enough
to motivate this veteran team, the standings and what they could look
like after tonight surely will. Losing another game to a division rival
that a team has been chasing is not an option and will do as much damage
as two defeats.
This veteran team knows what is at stake and will give it their all especially since they are off until Friday night after this game! They won't need to save energy for upcoming fixtures and will be solely focused on the important task at hand tonight.
DeRozan has been sensational all season and was leading the Raptors in scoring this season proving they can live without Rudy Gay. But he sprained his left foot in Saturday's game and will not be playing tonight. The Raptors were already missing the tenacious rebounding of Tyler Hansbrough and role player Landry Fields but this will be a much bigger blow. Terrence Ross exploded with a wonderful performance in the last game but we don't expect him to be as efficient against a Nets' defense that has been rapidly improving in recent weeks and held the Celtics to just 79 points last night!
There is a lot on the line for both teams tonight and neither will be lacking motivation going into this. The difference is that the Nets are finally healthy and missing only Brook Lopez while the Raptors will now have to learn to play without their best player. Brooklyn has been on fire in 2014 and we expect them to inch closer to the top of the Atlantic division tonight. Toronto has lost its last three visits to Brooklyn and will have a tough time again tonight.
Other notable facts to consider:
- The home team is 6-1-1 ATS (Against-The-Spread) in the last 8 meetings between these two teams!
- DeMar DeRozan (unavailable tonight) scored 26 points in the previous meeting between these two teams on January 11th.
- Brooklyn's last home loss was on Christmas Day!
- The Nets had their best defensive performance of the season last night holding the Celtics to just 37.8% shooting from the field!
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