January 8th 2014 - Posted 5:00 PM Eastern Time
Quality over quantity has always been our motto and a big reason behind our success.
Much like last night, there are a couple of teams we lean towards but ultimately there is only one we feel confident enough to wager on.
Take Golden State Warriors at -6 spread against Brooklyn Nets risking 2%
The Golden State Warriors have won 10 games in a row and are just one game shy of tying a franchise record with 11 straight wins! That previous 11-game streak came over 40 years ago and we expect Mark Jackson's team to do all it takes to make history! Tonight they will face a Brooklyn Nets team that is dealing with a number of key injuries. The loss of Brook Lopez was a huge blow to the Nets organization. The All-Star C was the team's leading scorer and contributed an average of 20 points per game. The team had been able to rally and some players stepped up in the absence of Lopez but it appears now that Deron Williams is nursing an injury himself and will be out of tonight's game. The play of D-Will as PG was a big reason why the Nets were able to at least contend without Lopez in the lineup, without him, the Nets are going to have a very hard time keeping pace with the explosive and fastpaced Warriors offense.
The Warriors are playing in the second half of a back-to-back but they blew out the Milwaukee Bucks and had a relatively easy time last night. That meant they had such a commanding lead in the 4th quarter that they allowed some of the key players to rest and not finish the game. That typically lends itself well in limiting fatigue and keeps players fresh for the following night. Fatigue should also not be much of a factor anyway as the Warriors run one of the most fast paced offenses and have historically finished near the top of the league in average possessions per game. In the Golden State offense, possessions usually equals points and they often come in 3-point bursts!
The Warriors have actually been a pretty solid team on the road this season. Through 22 road games, they have won 13 despite some early season struggles. Despite having played 6 straight road games during this stretch the Warriors have managed to cover the number in 4 out of the 6 on this trip! Meanwhile the Nets are a team in transition and haven't been particular dominant at home either. At just 8-9 at home, they has fallen well short so far after being looked at as a potential contender in the offseason. The Nets were built to contend with the Miami Heat and it just so happens that the Heat are the next team they will face on Friday! It would be foolish to look past a team as potent as the Warriors but we wouldn't put it completely past them to get caught peeking ahead and thinking about their upcoming game against Eastern rivals and the defending champions!
The Warriors are the hottest team in the league
at the moment and they are playing their best basketball of the season.
We are seeing key contributions from each and every player on the roster
and that is when a team is at its most dangerous. The Nets have been one of the worst in the league
at defending the 3-point line and that is a recipe for disaster against
a team that shoots close to 40% from beyond the arc! Golden State has been scoring points at will
while defending better since Andre Iguodala's return and we see them
having another convincing performance over the injury-riddled Nets.
Other notable facts to consider:
- Golden State Warriors have won nine of 10 games against Eastern Conference opponents!
- Brooklyn is just 13-30 ATS in home games against teams with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
- Golden State has won its last 5 road games.
- Brooklyn Nets are 0-16 when they allow more than 100 points and Golden State has reached that mark in 12 of its last 14 games!
- The Warriors are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meeting with the Nets.
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