August 11th 2014 - Posted at 4:00 PM ET
Sports Profit System is confident of a strong MLB month in August! There will of course be both wins and losses throughout the 31 days but it will be an excellent month when it's all over. Then comes September and it is no secret that football has always been our best sport. We outdo any service that is willing to be honest and transparent with results and enjoyed the highest football profit of all in 2013! Not every weekend was a good one but NFL and NCAA football were both lucrative and brought us just over 45 units (not factoring in juice) combined last season!
Take Pittsburgh Pirates as +104 underdogs on the Money Line against Detroit Tigers risking 2%
(Locke and Verlander must start)
The Detroit Tigers travel to PNC Park to open up a 4-game home and home series against the Pirates tonight.
The Tigers come into this game short on confidence after blowing a save in the 9th inning for the second consecutive game! That blown save caused the game to go 10 more extra innings and they paid the price as they ended up losing in the 19th inning to a Jose Bautista RBI single. The Tigers did their damage early but then let a 5-0 lead evaporate when they failed to score after the 4th inning! Their bullpen has been problematic recently and is now not only lacking belief but is extremely tired and overworked. Having back-to-back blown saves is one thing, but to go 19 long innings only to come up short just adds to the misery. That loss had to be deflating for the Tigers and the fact that they had to use a majority of their bullpen puts a lot of pressure on Justin Verlander tonight. If Verlander does not make a deep run in this game and the Tigers are forced to go to their bullpen, Pittsburgh should have a decisive advantage.
Verlander has not been himself this season. He is 10-10 with a 4.51 ERA! Those are not numbers that we are used to seeing from the former CY Young winner. He has been hittable this season giving up a total of 88 runs on 166 total hits! His performances on the highway aren't what they have been in the past either as he is just 5-5 in 13 road contests with a disappointing 4.59 ERA. His walk rate has also increased this season which is a sign that batters are being more patient at the plate and his command has often been less than stellar. Detroit has lost 4 of his last 5 road starts and it's also worth mentioning that Russell Martin is batting .429 in 14 at-bats against him while Travis Snider is hitting .385 against him over 13 at-bats!
Pittsburgh will send lefty Jeff Locke to the mound tonight. Locke who is 3-3 with a 3.78 ERA has better numbers than Verlander this season and is coming off of a solid start against the Marlins where he threw seven innings allowing 3 runs. He threw 5.1 scoreless innings during his only career start against the Tigers last year. Locke should have an advantage the first couple of trips through the lineup as only Miguel Cabrera and J.D. Martinez have seen him before. He's shown tremendous control when pitching at PNC Park having walked only 6 batters with a 0.93 WHIP this season!
This is a challenging day for Detroit. The Pirates have the best home record in the NL where they have gone 37-24 this season! They are coming off of a lackluster series against the San Diego Padres and this will be their chance to make up ground on the division leading Milwaukee Brewers since the Tigers are limping into this one physically and mentally tired. They had a long flight from Toronto to Pittsburgh last night and jet lag and the quick turnaround could well impact Game 1 tonight. Joakim Soria went on the D/L list yesterday and that only adds to their bullpen misery. Clint Hurdle's squad needs wins to keep pace with other playoff hopeful teams in the NL and we believe they will get it tonight.
Other notable facts to consider:
- Pirates are 72-53 after a loss over the last two seasons!
- Tigers are 12-18 after 4 or more consecutive road games and must be eager to return home from this lengthy road trip.
- Tigers are just 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Pittsburgh!
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